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St. John Fisher Cardinals

Season: 2022
Also known as: St. John Fisher Cardinals
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 974 (#404) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 966 (#435) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 995 (#369) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -19.9 (#784) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -13.9 (#515) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 70.2 More → 0.452 (#460) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 70.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.275 (#488) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.310 (#484) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 931 (#328) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-12-11 @ Buffalo Bulls L 58 - 100

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Cook D. Cook - 1 33.0 21.0 11.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 13.0 20.0 - - - 61.5 66.7 60.0 -0.25 69.1 69.2
B. Trapper B. Trapper - 1 29.0 19.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 15.0 4.0 - - - 46.7 37.5 66.7 -0.27 58.2 56.7
M. Lettko M. Lettko - 1 23.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
M. Gentile M. Gentile - 1 12.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -1.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
I. Duncan I. Duncan - 1 20.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 5.0 1.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 25.5 20.0
J. Sullivan J. Sullivan - 1 10.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 33.3 0.32 28.2 25.0
S. Williams S. Williams - 1 26.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 -237 -8.5 -10.6 20.0 0.0 0 0.61 20.0 20.0
C. Recore C. Recore - 1 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 25.8 0.0
B. Fowler B. Fowler - 1 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -120 -4.1 -5.0 100.0 0 0 -0.51 100.0 100.0
M. Panara M. Panara - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
J. Foley J. Foley - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
E. Kegler E. Kegler - 1 6.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
R. Gentile R. Gentile - 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
C. Thompson C. Thompson - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 266 7.8 11.8 0 0 0 1.43 0 0
C. Williams C. Williams - 1 4.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -43 -2.0 -6.0 0 0 0 1.18 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG