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St. Edward's

Season:
Also known as: St. Edward's Hilltoppers
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1026 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1251 (#15) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1196 (#14) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +20.2 (#16) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +14.9 (#102) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.737 (#190) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +61.6 More → 0.999 (#33) NetEff +61.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.4 More → 0.893 (#146) AdjNet +18.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.5 More → 0.906 (#133) AdjNet +19.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.782 (#137) AdjO 83.8 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.754 (#34) AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 69.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.835 (#41) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.831 (#35) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 24 More → 1262 (#22) RD 109 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.