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St. Edward's

Also known as: St. Edward's Hilltoppers
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 886 (#936) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 836 (#1046) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 997 (#277) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +2.5 (#512) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.6 (#379) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.488 (#258) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.371 (#375) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.393 (#363) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 904 (#398) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-14 @ Rice Owls L 63 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Johnson S. Johnson G-F 1 26.0 21.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 30.0 6 0.5 1.5 0 0 0 0.11 0 0
J. Campbell J. Campbell G 1 22.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 -122 -4.4 -14.5 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Z. Jones Z. Jones - 1 26.0 6.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 8.0 -63 -1.6 -4.2 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0
H. Nussman H. Nussman F 1 23.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.2 0 0
J. Stukes J. Stukes - 1 24.0 2.0 8.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.44 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG