🐻⬇️🏀

St. Catherine

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: St. Catherine
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 937 (#352) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1026 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1072 (#131) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.5 (#120) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -2.8 (#406) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.563 (#427) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.7 More → 0.373 (#393) NetEff -3.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +9.5 More → 0.749 (#298) AdjNet +9.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +9.2 More → 0.749 (#296) AdjNet +9.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 60.1 More → 0.620 (#288) AdjO 65.5 | AdjD 60.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 59.7 More → 0.512 (#368) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 59.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.541 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.535 (#353) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 36 More → 1112 (#140) RD 87 | GP 36

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Wis.-Superior W 78 - 59
2025-11-07 vs Franciscan W 86 - 70
2025-11-08 @ Macalester W 68 - 49
2025-11-09 vs SUNY Delhi W 95 - 51
2025-11-11 @ Clarkson W 74 - 63
2025-11-14 @ Minn.-Morris W 84 - 76
2025-11-15 @ Martin Luther L 56 - 63
2025-11-18 @ SUNY Poly W 64 - 39
2025-11-19 @ Concordia-M'head L 42 - 56
2025-11-21 @ Augustana (IL) W 67 - 58
2025-11-22 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 52 - 49
2025-11-22 @ Russell Sage W 72 - 51
2025-11-25 @ UW-River Falls L 40 - 47
2025-12-01 vs Bry. & Strat. (Syr.) W 104 - 47
2025-12-03 @ Utica W 76 - 52
2025-12-05 @ SUNY Morrisville W 90 - 53
2025-12-06 @ Cortland L 48 - 61
2025-12-12 @ St. Scholastica L 39 - 66
2026-01-06 @ SUNY Oneonta W 58 - 50
2026-01-09 vs Plattsburgh St. W 78 - 69
2026-01-10 vs Gustavus Adolphus L 40 - 53
2026-01-10 vs SUNY Potsdam W 88 - 67
2026-01-13 @ SUNY New Paltz L 44 - 66
2026-01-14 @ Saint Benedict L 50 - 60
2026-01-16 @ Oswego St. W 59 - 57
2026-01-17 vs Saint Mary's (MN) W 68 - 61
2026-01-20 vs SUNY New Paltz L 62 - 83
2026-01-21 vs Carleton L 61 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Macalester W 63 - 52
2026-01-28 @ St. Olaf W 54 - 46
2026-01-31 @ Hamline W 53 - 50
2026-02-04 @ Saint Mary's (MN) L 41 - 70
2026-02-07 vs Augsburg W 73 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sierra Pabo - 15 33.5 15.4 4.8 3.7 1.7 0.4 2.3 15.4 8.2 241 12.1 39.9 40.7 29.2 74.4 4.6 46.5 43.7
Hattie Fox - 18 32.9 15.1 6.4 1.8 1.9 0.1 2.8 12.9 9.6 8 0.4 1.3 33.2 26.7 89.2 -0.28 49.1 39.0
Kat McRobbie-Taru - 15 24.7 14.3 6.7 0.8 0.7 1.8 1.3 12.5 10.5 185 9.2 37.4 44.7 36.8 73.6 3.26 50.6 46.5
Jordyn Peed - 18 33.7 13.6 4.4 1.5 2.3 0.6 2.9 14.0 5.5 0 0.0 0.0 40.5 28.1 69.4 1.07 45.7 43.7
Kate Grainger - 12 29.2 13.1 8.5 2.1 1.7 0.7 1.8 11.0 13.2 144 8.5 41.7 38.6 38.5 70.0 -1.19 51.0 46.2
Hope Aniceto - 15 24.5 9.3 2.1 1.5 1.7 0.1 1.1 10.0 3.6 170 8.5 35.0 30.7 28.8 81.2 1.87 44.3 42.0
Elle Covey - 18 21.0 6.3 3.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 1.1 6.2 3.8 30 1.4 8.8 40.2 25.0 72.0 1.39 46.3 42.9
Ajiem Agwa - 4 17.7 6.2 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.8 4.5 3.8 21 5.2 44.4 50.0 40.0 71.4 -0.75 59.3 55.6
Natalie Bush - 15 14.0 5.9 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 5.7 3.4 88 4.4 35.6 36.5 34.0 66.7 2.41 48.7 47.1
Lily Peper - 18 29.4 5.2 4.4 1.6 1.6 0.7 1.4 6.6 5.5 -8 -0.4 -1.5 29.7 26.8 85.7 -1.7 37.5 34.3
Kate Flicek - 18 17.0 4.3 3.8 0.8 0.9 0.0 1.7 4.2 3.9 73 3.5 24.3 35.5 29.4 76.0 4.85 44.8 38.8
Chelsie Tyler - 14 8.3 3.6 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.7 80 4.2 34.6 39.5 35.0 82.4 -0.43 56.1 48.7
Abigail Rice - 15 16.9 3.5 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 3.1 5.1 -34 -0.8 -6.7 44.7 0.0 64.7 -0.71 48.6 44.7
Kristen Oberle - 18 23.6 3.2 3.2 0.8 1.9 0.1 1.7 3.6 4.0 -7 -0.3 -1.5 33.8 28.6 60.0 2.56 41.8 40.0
Emma Diehl - 15 15.0 3.1 4.0 1.1 1.5 0.2 1.3 4.6 4.0 84 4.2 27.2 26.1 8.3 55.6 2.76 30.6 26.8
Raya Cassidy - 17 12.2 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.2 3.1 0.6 -17 -0.8 -11.4 26.9 16.0 79.2 -1.12 40.8 30.8
Jayda Pina - 13 6.8 2.2 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.5 1.5 53 2.9 42.8 43.8 0 33.3 -0.24 43.5 43.8
Alyvia Roberts - 13 6.1 2.1 2.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.5 20 1.1 13.4 36.7 0 55.6 -1.34 39.8 36.7
Julia Harmon - 18 10.5 1.9 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 2.2 1.1 1 0.0 0.5 35.9 42.9 30.0 1.26 39.2 39.7
Grace Villnave - 14 6.3 1.6 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.4 46 2.4 33.7 50.0 0.0 71.4 1.51 54.6 50.0
Emma Perez - 14 11.9 1.2 2.6 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.8 50 2.6 20.2 17.9 14.3 100.0 -1.71 21.3 19.2
Beatrice Clayton - 18 5.4 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.6 0.1 -29 -1.4 -22.4 28.6 0.0 75.0 -4.39 34.9 28.6
Olivia Gannon - 12 4.4 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 -0.2 -23 -1.8 -31.9 27.8 25.0 50.0 -3.53 37.1 36.1
Marijke Kroon - 11 7.0 1.1 2.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.9 2.6 37 2.5 28.4 50.0 0 33.3 -0.19 47.5 50.0
Liz Kyles - 16 6.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.2 0.9 -2 -0.1 -1.7 35.0 16.7 0 0.15 37.5 37.5
Ada Skafte - 6 4.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 -0.3 -18 -2.6 -77.0 14.3 0.0 100.0 -2.2 25.4 14.3
Madalena Nguyen - 6 2.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 -15 -2.1 -58.3 66.7 0 0 -2.95 66.7 66.7
Sadey Sprabary - 14 6.1 0.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.8 28 1.5 16.8 28.6 0 50.0 -3.66 36.3 28.6
Emma Phippen - 8 2.7 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 4 0.4 15.9 33.3 0 50.0 0.06 38.7 33.3
Mya Nunez Williams - 2 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 0.7 39.3 0 0 0 0.53 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG