🐻⬇️🏀

St. Andrews

Also known as: St. Andrews Knights
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 767 (#751) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 725 (#759) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 987 (#468) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -35.7 (#960) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -32.4 (#637) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 72.7 More → 0.345 (#612) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 72.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.062 (#646) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.095 (#645) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 3 More → 791 (#618) RD 350 | GP 3

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-15 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 43 - 96
2021-11-28 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 36 - 106
2021-12-16 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 62 - 102

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
X. McFadden X. McFadden - 3 17.3 6.0 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.0 1.7 2.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 66.7 0 -0.7 150.0 66.7
S. Smith S. Smith - 2 16.5 6.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 131 4.2 9.7 16.7 0.0 0 1.38 100.0 16.7
G. McRae G. McRae - 3 11.0 3.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 4.7 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.45 183.3 0.0
A. Taylor A. Taylor - 3 12.7 3.0 4.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.7 -112 -3.2 -3.9 0.0 0 50.0 0.11 92.2 0.0
M. Drummond M. Drummond - 3 19.7 2.3 2.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 2.7 1.7 2.7 - - - 20.0 0.0 0.0 -0.88 59.5 20.0
B. Clark B. Clark - 3 6.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG