St. Andrews
Model Outputs
2021-2022
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 767 (#751) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 725 (#759) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#468) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -35.7 (#960) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -32.4 (#637) | HCA +2.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.345 (#612) | AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 72.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.062 (#646) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.095 (#645) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 791 (#618) | RD 350 | GP 3 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-15 | @ | South Carolina Upstate Spartans | L | 43 - 96 |
| 2021-11-28 | @ | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | L | 36 - 106 |
| 2021-12-16 | @ | The Citadel Bulldogs | L | 62 - 102 |
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
X. McFadden
|
- | 3 | 17.3 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | -0.7 | 150.0 | 66.7 |
S. Smith
|
- | 2 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 131 | 4.2 | 9.7 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.38 | 100.0 | 16.7 |
G. McRae
|
- | 3 | 11.0 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 183.3 | 0.0 |
A. Taylor
|
- | 3 | 12.7 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.7 | -112 | -3.2 | -3.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.11 | 92.2 | 0.0 |
M. Drummond
|
- | 3 | 19.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.7 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.88 | 59.5 | 20.0 |
B. Clark
|
- | 3 | 6.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG