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St Gregory's Cavaliers

Also known as: St Gregory's Cavaliers
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 905 (#872) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 939 (#807) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 995 (#328) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -31.1 (#1059) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -30.7 (#580) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 67.0 More → 0.404 (#515) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 67.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.061 (#585) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.094 (#583) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 866 (#478) RD 350 | GP 2

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-14 @ Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 41 - 90
2012-12-04 @ Little Rock Trojans L 30 - 91

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
F. Richey F. Richey G 2 32.0 11.5 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 3.5 0.0 13.5 - - - 0 0 0 -1.07 0 0
B. Vorwald B. Vorwald - 1 18.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Stromberg T. Stromberg - 2 26.0 3.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
D. Young D. Young - 2 30.0 2.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 5.5 0.0 -1.5 - - - 0 0 0 -1.17 0 0
D. Lemley D. Lemley - 2 17.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 5.0 0.0 -3.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.72 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG