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Spurgeon

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2022
Also known as: Spurgeon
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1083 (#132) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1122 (#110) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1058 (#154) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.6 (#233) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -2.8 (#390) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.656 (#360) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.8 More → 0.169 (#564) AdjNet -13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.0 More → 0.162 (#566) AdjNet -14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 90.6 More → 0.301 (#545) AdjO 81.4 | AdjD 90.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 77.2 More → 0.637 (#168) AdjO 83.4 | AdjD 77.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.488 (#409) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.517 (#391) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 279 | GP 4 More → 1188 (#74) RD 279 | GP 4

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Greenville - Incomplete score
2025-11-20 @ Blackburn - Incomplete score
2025-12-05 @ Martin Luther - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Maranatha Baptist - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Adam Loberger - 1 28.3 24.0 12.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 24.0 13.0 25 1.1 4.5 37.5 16.7 100.0 1.13 46.6 41.7
Evan Jordan - 1 32.8 23.0 6.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 16.0 16.0 33 1.6 8.3 43.8 45.5 80.0 2.3 63.2 59.4
Elijah Goad - 1 23.1 20.0 4.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 16.0 9 0.5 4.9 40.0 45.5 75.0 1.16 59.7 56.7
Brandon Tully - 1 23.1 18.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 8.0 -17 -0.8 -25.5 35.3 25.0 75.0 -3.01 48.0 44.1
Jaylen Jeter - 1 27.3 18.0 4.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 12.0 19 0.9 6.5 46.7 12.5 37.5 -2.51 48.6 50.0
Taiemm Comeaux - 1 19.8 17.0 10.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 19.0 -25 -1.6 -49.2 40.0 33.3 100.0 -2.46 62.9 45.0
Bohden Duffield - 1 20.0 17.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 16.0 12.0 - - - 43.8 50.0 50.0 1.22 50.4 50.0
Sheldon Grant II - 1 20.9 15.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 2.0 -47 -2.4 -84.2 60.0 0.0 60.0 -0.94 61.5 60.0
Ethan Kjenstad - 1 24.6 14.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 9.0 33 1.5 7.6 50.0 20.0 60.0 1.11 57.4 55.0
Trey Lauber - 1 23.0 14.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 7.0 15 0.7 3.5 33.3 33.3 100.0 -0.66 50.9 41.7
Raven Ortiz - 1 20.0 14.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 8.0 - - - 46.2 0.0 100.0 -0.35 50.4 46.2
Kamerin Carter - 1 22.6 13.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 10.0 3.0 -18 -1.0 -7.7 50.0 50.0 50.0 -3.69 55.3 55.0
Tahj Comeaux - 1 21.7 12.0 8.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 13.0 9 0.5 15.7 55.6 0.0 100.0 1.76 60.7 55.6
Joseph Schreiber-Rivera - 1 20.4 12.0 5.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 7.0 -1 -0.1 -1.0 54.5 0.0 0.0 1.12 50.5 54.5
DJ Middleton - 1 25.0 12.0 6.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 75.0 -2.2 68.5 64.3
Caleb Johnson - 1 12.0 11.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 -46 -1.7 -85.6 42.9 42.9 100.0 -2.57 69.8 64.3
Tim Lofton - 1 18.2 11.0 8.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 14.0 -29 -1.4 -17.9 44.4 0 50.0 -0.24 47.3 44.4
Jaylen Williams - 1 15.1 11.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 7.0 1 0.1 19.7 42.9 0 62.5 3.05 52.3 42.9
Benjamin Pearson - 1 31.6 11.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 0.0 -44 -2.3 -7.4 27.8 25.0 0.0 -3.64 29.8 30.6
Jackson Gurgel - 1 21.5 9.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 2.0 -47 -2.2 -58.5 18.2 28.6 60.0 -1.19 34.1 27.3
Thomas Balge - 1 20.9 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 5.0 -5 -0.3 -1.5 66.7 0 50.0 -2.35 65.4 66.7
Camden Nelson - 1 17.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 4.0 9.0 1.0 -30 -1.7 -38.9 33.3 28.6 100.0 -3.7 47.7 44.4
Newton Acevedo - 1 12.1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 -38 -2.0 -46.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 0.25 61.5 62.5
Elliot Mobley - 1 22.6 6.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 4.0 5.0 19 1.0 11.0 75.0 0 0 2.29 75.0 75.0
Ethan Hicks - 1 6.5 5.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.0 -41 -3.2 -517.9 50.0 50.0 0 -1.48 62.5 62.5
Darius Duff - 1 14.5 5.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 51 2.7 42.1 100.0 0 75.0 1.36 90.6 100.0
Bradyn Pieper - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 23 1.8 26.7 66.7 100.0 0 0.62 83.3 83.3
Drew Middleton - 1 17.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 -2.2 62.5 62.5
Nick Cook - 1 17.8 4.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 1.0 -59 -9.8 -87.2 20.0 0.0 50.0 -1.17 29.6 20.0
Kcion Welch - 1 28.6 4.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 37 1.9 11.2 50.0 0.0 100.0 0.15 69.4 50.0
Brady Conway - 1 6.5 3.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 -42 -4.7 -530.5 50.0 100.0 0.0 -3.26 61.5 75.0
Martin Krenz - 1 10.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -4 -1.0 -73.8 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Luke Fix - 1 22.2 2.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 -3 -0.1 -0.7 0.0 0 100.0 -1.39 34.7 0.0
Benjamin Vasold - 1 25.2 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 58 2.6 10.7 25.0 0.0 0 2.23 25.0 25.0
Payton Cook - 1 14.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 13 0.7 3.6 25.0 0.0 0.0 -0.15 22.5 25.0
Victor McGill - 1 10.6 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 -7 -1.2 -9.3 50.0 0 0 -0.22 50.0 50.0
Javonte Woolery - 1 7.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Dylan Rhodes - 1 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 -25 -1.6 -86.5 0.0 0.0 0 -1.16 0.0 0.0
Cayden Paquette - 1 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 10 0.8 7.9 0.0 0.0 0 -0.96 0.0 0.0
Bishop Duffield - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 1.22 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG