Springfield Pride
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2025 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#524) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 953 (#598) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#237) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.2 (#441) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#589) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.264 (#482) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.258 (#485) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.359 (#478) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#471) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.397 (#489) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#488) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1004 (#358) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 75 - 76 |
| 2024-11-12 | @ | Yeshiva | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Roanoke | L | 59 - 90 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | William Peace | W | 55 - 52 |
| 2024-11-19 | @ | Amherst | L | 49 - 78 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Wagner | L | 46 - 81 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | MIT | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Emmanuel (MA) | W | 87 - 67 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | Regis (MA) | W | 74 - 48 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | Me.-Farmington | L | 76 - 91 |
| 2025-01-06 | @ | Williams | L | 49 - 67 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | W | 83 - 81 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Salve Regina | L | 69 - 79 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Babson | L | 53 - 70 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Coast Guard | L | 76 - 85 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | WPI | L | 54 - 64 |
| 2025-01-21 | vs | Emerson | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 54 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | MIT | W | 75 - 63 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 69 - 57 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Salve Regina | L | 62 - 69 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Babson | W | 70 - 52 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 93 - 80 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Emerson | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | WPI | L | 52 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 64 - 78 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Emerson | L | 50 - 67 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Amado | - | 1 | 33.0 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 16.0 | 30.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 75.0 | 60.0 | 100.0 | 1.16 | 87.3 | 84.4 |
| Jarron Flynn | - | 22 | 26.2 | 12.5 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 19 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 58.2 | 15.4 | 45.4 | 0.76 | 57.4 | 58.7 |
| Xoren Livingston | - | 26 | 29.0 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | -118 | -4.2 | -13.4 | 35.2 | 25.7 | 82.8 | -0.42 | 45.5 | 40.2 |
| Josiah Evely | - | 26 | 21.1 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 6.2 | 6.8 | -44 | -1.8 | -6.7 | 46.9 | 36.5 | 61.8 | 0.42 | 56.1 | 54.0 |
| Timmy O'Toole | - | 1 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 11.0 | 93 | 3.9 | 12.3 | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.21 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Alex Stoddard | - | 1 | 28.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 5.7 | 27.3 | 22.2 | 0 | 0.66 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Josh Hartley | - | 26 | 16.1 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 4.4 | 6.8 | -48 | -2.3 | -11.6 | 57.0 | 66.7 | 64.9 | 0.38 | 60.8 | 57.9 |
| John Paulino | - | 23 | 29.4 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 6.4 | 6.5 | -64 | -2.5 | -7.9 | 29.9 | 23.3 | 53.8 | 1.73 | 37.8 | 32.3 |
| Cedric Rodriguez | - | 26 | 20.1 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 28 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 43.8 | 35.7 | 57.1 | 0.64 | 49.6 | 49.0 |
| Curtiss Blische | - | 23 | 15.1 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 5.7 | -21 | -1.3 | -3.9 | 42.6 | 20.0 | 71.8 | 0.23 | 48.0 | 43.0 |
| Zander Robinson | - | 21 | 13.2 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 3.2 | 3.3 | -9 | -0.5 | -3.6 | 42.6 | 38.9 | 64.7 | 0.58 | 52.4 | 47.8 |
| Hunter Matteson | - | 26 | 7.1 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 53.2 | 0 | 78.1 | 0.01 | 59.8 | 53.2 |
| Timmy Mulvey | - | 1 | 28.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | -6.0 | 128 | 5.6 | 14.6 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 0 | 2.57 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| RJ Hutt | - | 26 | 6.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | -4 | -0.4 | -3.3 | 39.2 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.06 | 52.9 | 52.9 |
| Reece Samuels | - | 24 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.3 | 7.9 | 36.8 | 33.3 | 58.3 | 0.1 | 49.7 | 47.4 |
| Sean Harrigan | - | 26 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.0 | -47 | -3.1 | -35.0 | 22.0 | 17.6 | 16.7 | -0.07 | 24.7 | 25.0 |
| Rashard Samuels | - | 20 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -17 | -2.8 | -21.1 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 45.1 | 32.1 |
| Zachary Campbell | - | 25 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | -40 | -3.1 | -116.2 | 41.2 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -0.45 | 41.4 | 44.1 |
| Yuki Ishibashi | - | 23 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | -0.1 | -4 | -4.0 | -90.6 | 9.1 | 25.0 | 33.3 | -1.2 | 16.2 | 13.6 |
| Nate Gryczka | - | 23 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -2 | -1.0 | -18.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.91 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| DJ Watkins | - | 21 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1 | 1.0 | 18.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.18 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Andrew Soron | - | 21 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jeremy Brown | - | 12 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.91 | 0 | 0 |
| Omar Chambers | - | 21 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 4 | 2.0 | 37.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.89 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vaughn Foster | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 37 | 2.2 | 15.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Horan | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.2 | -2.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.48 | 0 | 0 |
| Theo Lamb | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | 18 | 2.2 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tyler Lauder | - | 1 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 74 | 3.9 | 18.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 |
| Logan Murphy | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 89 | 6.8 | 187.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.34 | 0 | 0 |
| Max Purushothaman | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.7 | 13.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.53 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG