Springfield Pride
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#524) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 953 (#598) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#237) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.2 (#441) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#589) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.264 (#482) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.258 (#485) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.359 (#478) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#471) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.397 (#489) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#488) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1004 (#358) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-09 | vs | Western New Eng. | L | 55 - 89 |
| 2022-11-12 | @ | Lehman | W | 76 - 72 |
| 2022-11-13 | @ | WestConn | L | 53 - 79 |
| 2022-11-16 | @ | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 54 - 71 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Keene St. | L | 75 - 113 |
| 2022-11-30 | vs | Trinity (CT) | L | 65 - 76 |
| 2022-12-06 | @ | Amherst | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2022-12-10 | @ | Williams | L | 53 - 72 |
| 2022-12-13 | vs | Mitchell | L | 69 - 82 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | Roger Williams | W | 81 - 63 |
| 2022-12-31 | vs | Wesleyan (CT) | L | 35 - 54 |
| 2023-01-04 | @ | WPI | L | 48 - 76 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Babson | L | 55 - 59 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | L | 73 - 86 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | MIT | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 85 - 73 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 62 - 80 |
| 2023-01-25 | vs | Emerson | L | 66 - 74 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | WPI | L | 58 - 83 |
| 2023-02-01 | vs | MIT | W | 91 - 74 |
| 2023-02-04 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | L | 71 - 84 |
| 2023-02-08 | @ | Babson | L | 73 - 82 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Emerson | L | 71 - 99 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | Clark (MA) | L | 76 - 84 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 92 - 65 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.