Springfield Pride
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 904 (#524) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 960 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 953 (#598) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.3 (#237) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.2 (#441) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.309 (#589) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.264 (#482) | AdjNet -8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.258 (#485) | AdjNet -9.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.359 (#478) | AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 74.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.473 (#471) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.397 (#491) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#488) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1009 (#353) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-05 | @ | Western New Eng. | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Roger Williams | L | 67 - 82 |
| 2021-11-17 | vs | Eastern Conn. St. | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Keene St. | L | 57 - 93 |
| 2021-12-01 | @ | Trinity (CT) | L | 64 - 87 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Me.-Fort Kent | W | 68 - 54 |
| 2021-12-05 | @ | Norwich | W | 78 - 55 |
| 2021-12-09 | vs | Amherst | L | 61 - 75 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Williams | L | 61 - 74 |
| 2022-01-05 | vs | WPI | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2022-01-08 | @ | Babson | L | 74 - 83 |
| 2022-01-12 | vs | Wheaton (MA) | W | 77 - 71 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | MIT | L | 52 - 73 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Coast Guard | W | 78 - 69 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Clark (MA) | W | 82 - 70 |
| 2022-01-26 | @ | Emerson | L | 77 - 98 |
| 2022-01-30 | @ | WPI | L | 48 - 83 |
| 2022-02-02 | vs | MIT | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Wheaton (MA) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | vs | Babson | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Emerson | L | 82 - 89 |
| 2022-02-16 | @ | Clark (MA) | L | 70 - 88 |
| 2022-02-19 | vs | Coast Guard | W | 91 - 81 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.