Spring Hill
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 835 (#493) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 846 (#483) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 841 (#660) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.6 (#254) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#464) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.161 (#506) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.276 (#340) | NetEff -7.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.141 (#563) | AdjNet -15.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.139 (#565) | AdjNet -15.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.295 (#561) | AdjO 58.2 | AdjD 67.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.343 (#582) | AdjO 55.8 | AdjD 63.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.261 (#556) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.265 (#560) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 793 (#465) | RD 103 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | West Ala. | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mississippi Col. | W | 67 - 59 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | AUM | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Lane | L | 49 - 64 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Kentucky St. | W | 69 - 53 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Fort Valley St. | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 47 - 81 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Edward Waters | L | 43 - 58 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 60 - 64 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Benedict | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Allen | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lane | L | 59 - 64 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Kentucky St. | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 58 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | L | 62 - 67 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Miles | L | 76 - 84 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 55 - 60 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 71 - 82 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 32 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Savannah St. | W | 62 - 55 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Dowling | - | 20 | 28.6 | 12.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 8.9 | -123 | -5.3 | -24.0 | 58.3 | 0.0 | 59.7 | -1.45 | 59.8 | 58.3 |
| Jenice Adjessom | - | 20 | 31.0 | 10.3 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 8.2 | 8.2 | -84 | -3.8 | -15.3 | 38.8 | 34.3 | 84.8 | 0.62 | 53.3 | 45.8 |
| Libby Geisler | - | 18 | 22.6 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 3.8 | -90 | -4.5 | -26.4 | 35.2 | 31.4 | 85.0 | -0.1 | 51.9 | 45.7 |
| Nicole Blanch | - | 17 | 24.5 | 7.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 3.7 | -100 | -5.0 | -25.9 | 35.8 | 34.8 | 80.0 | -2.47 | 53.1 | 50.0 |
| Allison Irby | - | 20 | 25.4 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | 6.4 | -70 | -3.2 | -14.3 | 48.6 | 27.8 | 64.9 | -0.05 | 55.9 | 53.2 |
| Ta'Myla Allen | - | 20 | 28.2 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 6.0 | 4.8 | -87 | -4.0 | -16.9 | 33.6 | 19.2 | 53.6 | -0.3 | 40.0 | 37.8 |
| Laurie Severe | - | 16 | 17.5 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.6 | -1.5 | -66 | -3.7 | -38.3 | 23.6 | 18.9 | 56.2 | -0.77 | 30.5 | 28.3 |
| Ella Vallas | - | 19 | 19.2 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 1.4 | -94 | -4.3 | -40.5 | 34.8 | 31.2 | 0.0 | -0.49 | 39.5 | 40.2 |
| Madison Spychalski | - | 19 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.5 | -31 | -1.5 | -17.6 | 38.7 | 11.1 | 75.0 | -2.17 | 48.6 | 40.3 |
| Jordan Bowden | - | 2 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -2.0 | -42.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.29 | 26.0 | 0.0 |
| Amy Elliott | - | 12 | 9.2 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -58 | -4.5 | -29.3 | 12.5 | 10.0 | 0 | -4.34 | 15.6 | 15.6 |
| Aiyana Yowin | - | 1 | 5.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | -5 | -5.0 | -35.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG