Spring Hill
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 792 (#417) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 730 (#539) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 994 (#323) | HCA +95 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 763 (#601) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.5 (#277) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -11.5 (#476) | HCA +3.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -26.0 (#556) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.281 (#447) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.899 (#193) | NetEff +19.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.311 (#495) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.311 (#499) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.385 (#499) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 86.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.505 (#287) | AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 74.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.277 (#553) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 82.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.283 (#483) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.159 (#559) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.281 (#492) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.169 (#559) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 645 (#505) | RD 111 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | South Alabama | L | 50 - 99 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | AUM | L | 68 - 95 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | West Florida | L | 87 - 99 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Morehouse | L | 60 - 83 |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Montevallo | L | 68 - 90 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | UAH | L | 82 - 88 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Fort Valley St. | L | 71 - 87 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Clark Atlanta | L | 76 - 86 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Edward Waters | W | 75 - 71 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Savannah St. | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Benedict | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Allen | L | 80 - 90 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Lane | L | 90 - 105 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | LeMoyne-Owen | L | 62 - 66 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Central St. (OH) | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Kentucky St. | L | 72 - 81 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Tuskegee | L | 62 - 77 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Albany St. (GA) | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2026-01-19 | vs | Miles | L | 72 - 80 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Morehouse | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Fort Valley St. | L | 61 - 101 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Clark Atlanta | L | 90 - 96 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Edward Waters | L | 62 - 78 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Savannah St. | L | 60 - 69 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Mikel | - | 1 | 27.2 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 16.0 | -5 | -0.3 | -5.0 | 77.8 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.47 | 86.9 | 77.8 |
| Christopher McKnight | - | 1 | 31.5 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 3 | 0.4 | 3.6 | 50.0 | 36.4 | 66.7 | -1.41 | 65.3 | 64.3 |
| Rocco Lamuno | - | 20 | 35.9 | 18.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 13.1 | 13.3 | -118 | -5.6 | -25.3 | 45.6 | 34.7 | 88.0 | -1.28 | 59.7 | 53.4 |
| Tavaris Bell | - | 1 | 33.5 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | -44 | -3.7 | -22.5 | 45.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.88 | 62.3 | 50.0 |
| Joshua Whitehurst | - | 1 | 18.6 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 36.4 | 66.7 | - | 45.7 | 42.9 |
| Brian Harris | - | 19 | 24.1 | 12.2 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 10.5 | 5.5 | -86 | -4.3 | -22.1 | 37.5 | 32.5 | 86.0 | -1.02 | 52.0 | 47.0 |
| Sterling Blakely | - | 1 | 15.6 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 10.0 | -48 | -3.2 | -26.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -0.73 | 87.2 | 83.3 |
| Jordahn Johnson | - | 1 | 27.8 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 71.4 | 0 | 100.0 | 1.6 | 73.9 | 71.4 |
| Gerrard Living Jr | - | 1 | 18.7 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 66.7 | 83.3 | - | 82.8 | 75.0 |
| Javonte Landy | - | 1 | 33.2 | 11.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | -9 | -0.5 | -2.2 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -3.45 | 50.6 | 45.0 |
| Alvin Cole | - | 19 | 30.6 | 10.4 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 10.7 | 4.2 | -121 | -5.8 | -26.3 | 35.3 | 27.6 | 86.5 | -1.37 | 44.7 | 40.4 |
| Amaan Sanni | - | 19 | 25.3 | 10.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 8.8 | 4.5 | -64 | -3.2 | -29.8 | 40.7 | 18.4 | 73.0 | -0.6 | 49.4 | 42.8 |
| Ashton Henderson | - | 1 | 22.3 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.84 | 44.1 | 25.0 |
| LaDricus Pittman | - | 1 | 28.1 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 15.0 | -6.0 | - | - | - | 13.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 26.2 | 13.3 |
| Andre Walker II | - | 1 | 25.6 | 9.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -2.7 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.61 | 40.9 | 40.9 |
| Zyere Edwards | - | 1 | 18.9 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -4.5 | 37.5 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.13 | 50.7 | 43.8 |
| Zion Davis | - | 1 | 25.8 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -3.8 | 37.5 | 28.6 | 0 | -0.32 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| James Leach | - | 1 | 30.6 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 12.0 | 33 | 1.6 | 10.7 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.56 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Desmond Bratcher | - | 1 | 22.6 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | - | 54.3 | 58.3 |
| LaCurtis Dunn Jr | - | 1 | 31.3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 41.5 | 37.5 |
| Stephon MacDonald | - | 13 | 24.5 | 6.8 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 6.2 | 6.3 | -7 | -0.5 | -11.4 | 44.4 | 40.0 | 45.5 | 1.54 | 51.8 | 51.9 |
| Ruben Bos | - | 19 | 25.7 | 6.2 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 5.1 | 7.4 | -88 | -4.2 | -28.5 | 37.5 | 29.4 | 81.1 | 1.06 | 52.1 | 45.3 |
| Chancellor Wilson | - | 1 | 16.7 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.75 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Collin Coates | - | 19 | 23.0 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 4.7 | 6.2 | -87 | -4.3 | -25.1 | 36.0 | 34.8 | 78.3 | -0.39 | 49.4 | 44.9 |
| Courage Agbekpornu | - | 1 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Nikoloz Abuladze | - | 20 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 4.1 | 2.0 | -29 | -1.4 | -22.8 | 40.2 | 27.3 | 85.7 | 0.46 | 47.6 | 45.7 |
| Kevan Eskridge | - | 1 | 21.6 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| JC Johnson | - | 1 | 23.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Jacquez Shuler | - | 1 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -33 | -2.2 | -34.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.44 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Braylon Jackson | - | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.44 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Brandon Johnson | - | 1 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -30 | -1.5 | -16.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.34 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Michael Swift | - | 1 | 17.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 | 42 | 2.6 | 18.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| James Henderson Jr. | - | 6 | 15.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 125 | 6.9 | 53.9 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 2.11 | 36.7 | 27.3 |
| Jalen Williams | - | 6 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | -9 | -0.5 | -9.0 | 14.3 | 10.0 | 75.0 | -1.49 | 25.4 | 17.9 |
| Miles Hannah | - | 3 | 4.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | -0.3 | 1 | 0.5 | 19.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.28 | 23.1 | 0.0 |
| Alex Thompson | - | 10 | 5.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.04 | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| Jaren Phillips | - | 1 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -36 | -2.8 | -17.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.84 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Naji Wright | - | 1 | 6.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -62 | -3.6 | -72.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Omari Watters | - | 1 | 26.8 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| LaDarrius Chigano | - | 1 | 5.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.12 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG