🐻⬇️🏀

Spalding

Season: 2026
Also known as: Spalding
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 981 (#318) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 940 (#366) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 949 (#557) HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -17.0 (#575) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.001 (#679) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -38.6 More → 0.010 (#698) AdjNet -38.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -36.8 More → 0.011 (#694) AdjNet -36.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 52.5 | AdjD 78.6 More → 0.085 (#698) AdjO 52.5 | AdjD 78.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 65.1 More → 0.310 (#608) AdjO 56.3 | AdjD 65.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.221 (#586) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.238 (#580) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 307 | GP 1 More → 915 (#353) RD 307 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-13 @ Missouri S&T L 47 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zaneiya Batiste - 1 33.7 20.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 16.0 11.0 - - - 43.8 0 75.0 - 51.2 43.8
Gabby Douglass - 1 39.0 14.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 7.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Brooke McNeal - 1 31.1 6.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 1.0 - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 27.6 20.0
Nicole Hollowell - 1 23.3 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 0.0 - - - 14.3 20.0 100.0 - 31.7 21.4
Brianna Bauer - 1 22.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 -2.0 - - - 25.0 0.0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Timarri Miller - 1 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -3.0 -9 -3.0 -24.8 0.0 0 0 -0.06 0.0 0.0
Deonte'nae Neal - 1 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ma’Kaylia Lute - 1 17.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Zuri King - 1 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG