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Southwestern (KS)

Also known as: Southwestern (KS)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 973 (#427) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +7.2 (#206) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.7 More → 0.884 (#153) AdjNet +17.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.3 More → 0.894 (#145) AdjNet +18.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.772 (#151) AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 68.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 68.3 More → 0.575 (#177) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 68.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.580 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.569 (#258) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 17 More → 964 (#263) RD 139 | GP 17

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Newman W 82 - 68
2025-11-15 @ Mo. Southern St. L 76 - 77
2025-11-19 @ Central Okla. L 51 - 67
2025-11-22 @ Okla. Christian L 60 - 68
2025-11-25 @ Okla. Christian L 71 - 85
2025-11-25 vs Science & Arts Okla. W 89 - 60
2025-12-01 vs Southwestern Christ. W 84 - 58
2025-12-04 @ Harding L 55 - 77
2025-12-06 @ Arkansas Tech L 60 - 65
2025-12-11 vs Okla. Baptist L 74 - 78
2025-12-13 @ Southern Nazarene L 55 - 83
2025-12-18 @ Southeastern Okla. W 74 - 62
2026-01-03 vs East Central L 72 - 77
2026-01-08 vs Henderson St. W 76 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Ouachita Baptist L 56 - 61
2026-01-15 @ Southern Ark. L 54 - 73
2026-01-17 @ Ark.-Monticello W 74 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Miles Gibson - 1 26.3 15.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 15.0 5 0.3 3.2 41.7 50.0 100.0 -0.61 54.5 45.8
Tyreece Frierson - 12 28.9 14.2 3.3 3.8 2.0 0.3 1.3 12.9 9.4 5 0.4 1.9 38.1 22.6 78.0 -2.12 48.3 42.6
Jason Clark - 1 29.1 13.0 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 13.0 13.0 45 2.2 24.3 15.4 0.0 90.0 1.39 37.4 15.4
Elijah Bailey - 1 31.0 12.0 5.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 15.0 55 2.8 31.5 80.0 0.0 66.7 2.23 78.5 80.0
Kayden Carter - 16 28.0 11.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.9 2.8 8.7 7.7 48 2.3 14.8 54.7 0.0 54.4 3.75 55.8 54.7
Kray Rogers - 16 29.9 9.2 5.6 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.4 7.1 9.8 87 4.1 22.4 43.9 36.1 70.8 0.34 59.0 57.0
Andrew Hill - 1 10.7 9.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 33 2.4 67.3 50.0 75.0 0 0.47 75.0 75.0
Tobias Roland - 16 24.4 8.6 3.4 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.6 6.4 6.4 53 2.5 22.3 41.7 37.8 84.4 -0.56 56.2 48.5
Anthony Ignowski - 1 32.3 8.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 11.0 13 0.7 33.2 80.0 0.0 0 0.13 80.0 80.0
Elijah Jordan - 9 25.7 7.9 6.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.8 7.3 7.3 36 2.8 13.2 33.3 25.0 75.0 -0.31 45.3 37.9
Tucker Shepherd - 16 20.6 7.5 2.6 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.8 7.1 4.1 -9 -0.5 -4.0 38.9 32.5 50.0 -1.27 50.4 50.0
Spencer Musgrove - 14 14.8 4.9 2.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.8 4.4 48 2.7 46.6 43.4 36.6 88.9 -1.2 60.6 57.5
Nate Reherman - 16 20.0 4.2 3.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.9 3.2 4.8 43 2.0 21.2 50.0 21.4 59.1 -0.72 55.1 52.9
Javonne Nesbit - 1 12.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 4.0 1 0.1 1.8 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.4 69.4 50.0
David Oyona Ibandzo - 1 10.9 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5 0.4 27.2 100.0 0 0 -0.08 100.0 100.0
Chacun Anderson II - 1 3.3 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 12 1.7 384.0 33.3 33.3 0 -0.15 50.0 50.0
Walker Kennedy - 14 11.0 2.9 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.9 2.4 2.7 48 2.7 37.9 45.5 23.1 58.3 2.08 52.2 50.0
Cade Hartley - 15 8.9 2.1 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 1.7 2.6 -4 -0.2 -6.2 42.3 41.2 100.0 0.79 58.6 55.8
Jayce Daniels - 1 9.7 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 15 1.9 467.5 50.0 0 0.0 0.47 34.7 50.0
Vance Raney - 6 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.8 6 0.9 23.8 44.4 50.0 0.0 1.45 58.3 61.1
Kaysen Gipson - 8 5.1 1.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.5 19 2.1 92.9 38.5 33.3 0.0 0.33 48.4 50.0
Fedor Portnoi - 1 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG