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Southwest Minn. St.

Season: 2026 2023 2022 2020 2014
Also known as: Southwest Minn. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1010 (#368) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1034 (#308) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1027 (#255) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +14.5 (#168) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.993 (#161) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +23.1 More → 0.935 (#154) AdjNet +23.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +22.7 More → 0.936 (#155) AdjNet +22.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 89.9 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.865 (#135) AdjO 89.9 | AdjD 69.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 73.2 More → 0.683 (#117) AdjO 81.7 | AdjD 73.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.763 (#135) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.741 (#151) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 327 | GP 1 More → 1064 (#265) RD 327 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-08 vs North Central (MN) W 104 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Aeron Stevens - 1 21.0 15.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 100.0 - 72.7 66.7
Mason Lund - 1 21.3 14.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 11.0 - - - 55.6 57.1 0 - 77.8 77.8
Micah Schlaak - 1 24.1 14.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 - - - 62.5 50.0 50.0 - 78.8 81.2
Mekhi Shaw - 1 20.3 14.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 13.0 - - - 55.6 100.0 50.0 - 65.1 66.7
Brayson Boike - 1 19.7 11.0 7.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 13.0 - - - 57.1 33.3 100.0 - 69.8 64.3
Jakob Braaten - 1 25.0 9.0 5.0 17.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 8.0 21.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 56.2 56.2
Isaiah Schafer - 1 9.2 9.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 60.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Caleb Schlaak - 1 8.6 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0 75.0 - 66.5 50.0
Buay Koak - 1 7.7 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 -3.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Landon Pokorski - 1 21.3 3.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Calvin Buss - 1 11.2 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Ethan Koltz - 1 5.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 - - - 50.0 0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Luke Stevens - 1 5.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 69.4 100.0
Reece Kircher - 1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG