Southwest Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 762 (#510) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 805 (#497) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 853 (#649) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -9.6 (#302) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.8 (#409) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.417 (#391) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.337 (#324) | NetEff -4.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.442 (#429) | AdjNet -2.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.467 (#422) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.465 (#439) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 68.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.446 (#477) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.394 (#452) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.383 (#467) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 792 (#464) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Mansfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Molloy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ozark Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Emporia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Washburn | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Northeastern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Georgian Court | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahia Esanola | - | 1 | 15.9 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 79.0 | 77.8 |
| Kamiyah Hurd | - | 18 | 29.4 | 11.9 | 7.3 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 8.9 | 11.3 | 28 | 1.3 | 5.1 | 46.9 | 40.6 | 85.2 | 0.76 | 57.5 | 50.9 |
| Natalia Crooke | - | 18 | 28.8 | 10.9 | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 10.8 | 4.5 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.2 | 34.4 | 33.1 | 70.8 | 0.19 | 47.7 | 45.9 |
| Ida Lusadisu N'Gonda | - | 18 | 22.1 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 8.7 | 4.6 | -48 | -2.4 | -14.8 | 43.3 | 16.7 | 72.7 | -3.52 | 48.2 | 43.9 |
| Eviyon Richardson | - | 8 | 19.2 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 5.8 | 5.1 | -48 | -4.4 | -14.5 | 37.0 | 30.8 | 88.0 | -2.89 | 52.6 | 41.3 |
| Tinu Fakunle | - | 16 | 23.0 | 7.4 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 7.2 | 4.3 | 39 | 2.1 | 15.5 | 35.3 | 34.1 | 50.0 | 2.28 | 43.6 | 41.4 |
| Claudia Diez Sancho | - | 18 | 15.3 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 47 | 2.2 | 18.8 | 54.1 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.34 | 54.4 | 54.1 |
| Carolina Crawford | - | 14 | 23.3 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 2.8 | 4.1 | 5.3 | 25 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 40.4 | 33.3 | 48.0 | 1.37 | 46.3 | 44.7 |
| Gwen O'Connell | - | 9 | 11.4 | 3.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.4 | 0.6 | 36 | 4.0 | 267.5 | 30.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.81 | 42.8 | 42.5 |
| Reagan Wells | - | 13 | 11.4 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | -38 | -2.7 | -19.4 | 34.9 | 37.1 | 100.0 | 2.91 | 52.5 | 50.0 |
| Nahia Esnaola | - | 17 | 17.2 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 5.5 | -39 | -1.9 | -13.8 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 17.2 | -1.21 | 39.2 | 43.3 |
| Clara Enrich Tasias | - | 13 | 15.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 58 | 4.1 | 70.6 | 35.7 | 25.0 | 28.6 | 0.52 | 38.6 | 39.3 |
| Alice Woodward | - | 8 | 9.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | -12 | -1.2 | -181.1 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -3.93 | 28.3 | 23.3 |
| Zaakyaa Young | - | 17 | 11.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | -1.2 | -71 | -3.5 | -42.2 | 7.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -3.37 | 12.7 | 7.1 |
| Carlota Aliaga Alonso | - | 5 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -25 | -3.6 | -212.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG