Southwest Baptist
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 958 (#373) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1016 (#224) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 973 (#429) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +9.9 (#132) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +9.0 (#171) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.405 (#389) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 1.000 (#11) | NetEff +77.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.633 (#343) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.641 (#344) | AdjNet +5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.593 (#335) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 69.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.649 (#105) | AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 67.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.680 (#160) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.666 (#164) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#205) | RD 91 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | Ecclesia | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Harding | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Calvary | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | Drury | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Bloomsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Newman | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Mo. Southern St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Williams Baptist | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | Rockhurst | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Lincoln (MO) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lewis | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Upper Iowa | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | William Jewell | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Reedus | - | 23 | 32.9 | 17.1 | 5.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 11.0 | 37 | 1.6 | 6.3 | 49.5 | 31.6 | 65.0 | 1.25 | 56.5 | 52.6 |
| Barron Silsby | - | 21 | 31.8 | 12.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 6.5 | 25 | 1.2 | 4.2 | 45.4 | 37.4 | 79.5 | -1.14 | 60.6 | 58.0 |
| Jevin Sullivan | - | 23 | 27.7 | 11.5 | 7.1 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 7.8 | 12.1 | 49 | 2.1 | 9.0 | 52.5 | 37.5 | 77.0 | 0.58 | 60.8 | 55.0 |
| Leo Gayman | - | 15 | 24.5 | 11.3 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 7.5 | 11.6 | 47 | 3.1 | 15.2 | 47.8 | 36.6 | 87.0 | 4.95 | 62.2 | 54.4 |
| Brandon Moore | - | 19 | 27.5 | 9.8 | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 7.8 | 6.0 | -40 | -2.1 | -11.0 | 53.0 | 33.9 | 50.0 | -1.66 | 59.6 | 59.7 |
| Luke Ogle | - | 23 | 27.4 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 68 | 3.0 | 15.4 | 41.2 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 1.73 | 52.5 | 50.7 |
| Lachie McKain | - | 21 | 22.8 | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 66 | 3.1 | 17.7 | 35.5 | 39.5 | 66.7 | 0.78 | 51.7 | 51.4 |
| Sasha Glushkov | - | 23 | 12.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.5 | -28 | -1.2 | -11.6 | 36.5 | 25.8 | 47.1 | -0.99 | 44.0 | 42.9 |
| Tyler Franklin | - | 20 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 3.2 | 11 | 0.6 | 5.7 | 44.1 | 23.1 | 66.7 | 0.38 | 52.2 | 48.5 |
| Jeremy Moore | - | 4 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | -8 | -2.0 | -72.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 4.1 | 63.0 | 33.3 |
| Eli Kennedy | - | 8 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | -15 | -1.9 | -119.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Nelson Shinkle | - | 4 | 4.3 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.2 | -9 | -2.2 | -81.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Connor Shuler | - | 4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -7 | -1.8 | -63.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Chase Coomer | - | 4 | 7.2 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | -4 | -1.0 | -29.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.58 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG