🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Virginia

Also known as: Southern Virginia Knights
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 993 (#372) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -13.2 (#799) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -10.6 (#470) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 66.1 More → 0.460 (#391) AdjO 64.4 | AdjD 66.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.245 (#482) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#477) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 785 (#558) RD 350 | GP 2

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-12-04 @ Liberty Flames L 51 - 76
2012-12-13 @ Longwood Lancers L 74 - 86

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Jacobson I. Jacobson - 2 28.5 12.5 5.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 19.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.25 0 0
C. Nye C. Nye - 2 27.5 10.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.5 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.26 0 0
J. Jacobson J. Jacobson - 2 24.0 8.0 3.5 2.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Jacobson A. Jacobson - 2 26.0 7.0 2.5 3.5 1.0 0.0 5.5 0.0 8.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.44 0 0
A. Bailey A. Bailey - 2 19.0 4.0 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 8.5 1 0.1 0.2 0 0 0 0.09 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG