🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Jaguars

Also known as: Southern Jaguars
Program History

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

71.8
PPG
68.5
Opp
+3.4
Margin
42.0%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
72.8%
FT%
33.0
RPG
12.6
APG
12.8
TO
82.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1011 (#272) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1054 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1006 (#178) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +17.2 (#275) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +6.6 (#259) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.6 More → 0.235 (#205) NetEff -9.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.520 (#214) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 66.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.607 (#257) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.577 (#254) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 137 | GP 28 More → 904 (#462) RD 137 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 1 35.0 16.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 26.0 -43 -8.6 -31.6 0 0 0 1.56 0 0
T. Lyons T. Lyons - 28 28.6 14.0 5.0 0.9 1.6 0.8 1.9 2.9 17.4 12 0.4 0.6 55.0 57.1 64.9 -0.37 203.1 62.5
J. Sanders J. Sanders - 11 31.4 11.7 3.5 3.5 1.9 0.5 2.1 5.3 13.8 - - - 43.1 0.0 75.0 -0.13 101.9 43.1
B. Whitley B. Whitley - 28 21.9 11.5 2.3 0.6 0.9 0.1 1.4 3.1 10.9 147 4.7 8.3 42.5 32.1 83.3 1.34 161.2 52.3
Justyn Hamilton Justyn Hamilton - 1 32.0 11.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 22.0 209 7.2 9.8 0 0 0 0.63 0 0
A. Taylor A. Taylor F 1 17.0 9.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 18.0 -112 -3.2 -3.9 0 0 0 0.11 0 0
K. Nicholson K. Nicholson F 1 25.0 9.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 14.0 -26 -0.8 -1.1 0 0 0 -0.06 0 0
T. Williams Jr. T. Williams Jr. - 14 27.7 8.6 4.0 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.4 2.8 10.4 -64 -2.1 -3.4 41.0 35.7 75.0 2.36 141.1 47.4
B. Etienne B. Etienne - 1 30.0 8.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 17.0 85 2.8 5.1 0 0 0 0.52 0 0
J. Thomas J. Thomas G 1 31.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 11.0 -291 -9.1 -14.1 0 0 0 1.05 0 0
S. Johnson S. Johnson F 1 20.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 11.0 148 4.4 8.3 0 0 0 1.65 0 0
P.J. Byrd P.J. Byrd - 27 24.9 6.6 1.9 2.8 1.3 0.0 2.6 1.6 8.4 - - - 30.2 21.1 93.8 0.36 177.9 34.9
J. Dupree J. Dupree F 1 10.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 44 1.6 4.7 0 0 0 0.49 0 0
D. Sears D. Sears F 11 19.2 5.4 5.5 0.5 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.5 10.0 16 0.5 1.2 41.2 0 75.0 -0.23 114.3 41.2
L. Henry L. Henry C 1 16.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -63 -2.2 -3.5 0 0 0 -0.38 0 0
A. McCray A. McCray F 1 14.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 -23 -1.2 -2.9 0 0 0 -0.08 0 0
C. Robinson C. Robinson G 1 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 -48 -9.6 -14.0 0 0 0 0.09 0 0
I. Rollins I. Rollins - 28 11.5 4.2 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.3 5.0 35 1.1 3.8 38.9 30.0 77.8 0.1 147.6 47.2
J. Ewing J. Ewing - 10 13.5 4.0 3.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.8 2.0 5.0 -10 -0.3 -1.2 60.0 0.0 70.0 -0.26 82.0 60.0
B. Brooks B. Brooks G 11 13.1 3.6 0.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.6 5.2 68 2.2 6.2 57.1 33.3 50.0 0.23 228.3 64.3
D. Agnew D. Agnew C 1 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -34 -1.1 -2.3 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
J. Holliday J. Holliday G 6 11.2 1.7 1.8 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.8 3.5 44 2.2 6.4 0.0 0.0 0 0.33 100.0 0.0
G. Harris G. Harris - 6 5.0 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.7 1.5 20 3.3 27.5 25.0 0.0 50.0 0.31 71.7 25.0
A. Shivers A. Shivers G 2 1.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Parker K. Parker C 4 7.0 0.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.5 2.5 -7 -0.4 -3.0 50.0 0 0 -0.21 75.0 50.0
D. Johnson D. Johnson G 3 4.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -46 -1.6 -4.5 0 0 0 0.36 0 0
Micah Bradford Micah Bradford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
G. Flowers G. Flowers F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
T. Randolph T. Randolph F 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -50 -1.9 -4.3 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
E. Parrish E. Parrish G 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 -56 -2.8 -6.1 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
M. Parker M. Parker F 1 19.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 3 0.1 0.3 0 0 0 0.33 0 0
A. Cortez A. Cortez F 1 12.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -93 -3.7 -6.8 0 0 0 -0.89 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG