🐻⬇️🏀

Southern California

Season: 2026
Also known as: Southern California
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1020 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1078 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#303) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +31.0 (#53) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#137) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.0 More → 0.973 (#103) AdjNet +31.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.5 More → 0.974 (#107) AdjNet +30.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.909 (#85) AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.798 (#28) AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.861 (#46) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.839 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 285 | GP 1 More → 1096 (#183) RD 285 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-21 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.