🐻⬇️🏀

Southern California

Season: 2026
Also known as: Southern California
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1021 (#299) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1088 (#161) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1019 (#303) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +31.0 (#53) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.996 (#137) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +31.0 More → 0.973 (#103) AdjNet +31.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.5 More → 0.974 (#107) AdjNet +30.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 66.9 More → 0.909 (#85) AdjO 92.2 | AdjD 66.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.798 (#28) AdjO 86.8 | AdjD 71.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.860 (#47) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.838 (#52) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 285 | GP 1 More → 1098 (#179) RD 285 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-21 vs UC Santa Cruz W 102 - 63

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gabe Dynes - 1 21.7 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 17.0 - - - 80.0 0 0 - 80.0 80.0
Ezra Ausar - 1 16.2 15.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 85.7 0 100.0 - 90.1 85.7
Chad Baker-Mazara - 1 23.2 15.0 7.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 17.0 - - - 45.5 33.3 80.0 - 56.8 50.0
Jacob Cofie - 1 19.8 14.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 15.0 - - - 87.5 0.0 0.0 - 78.8 87.5
Jaden Brownell - 1 11.4 9.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 7.0 12.0 - - - 28.6 50.0 80.0 - 48.9 35.7
Jordan Marsh - 1 25.1 9.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 57.1 0.0 50.0 - 57.1 57.1
Jerry Easter II - 1 17.2 8.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 9.0 -15 -0.8 -6.5 80.0 0 0 0.12 80.0 80.0
Ryan Cornish - 1 20.2 5.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 64.4 50.0
Terrance Williams II - 1 11.8 5.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 62.5 - 45.3 0.0
EJ Neal - 1 3.6 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Brit Burden - 1 2.1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jonah Goorin - 1 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Patrick O'Brien - 1 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG