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Southeastern Bapt.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022
Also known as: Southeastern Bapt.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 928 (#496) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 872 (#531) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 946 (#610) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -37.0 (#774) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.002 (#792) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -53.2 More → 0.002 (#794) AdjNet -53.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -53.4 More → 0.002 (#794) AdjNet -53.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 103.5 More → 0.022 (#794) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 103.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 82.4 More → 0.233 (#725) AdjO 69.3 | AdjD 82.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.094 (#752) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.120 (#742) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 268 | GP 2 More → 788 (#560) RD 268 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-12 @ Belhaven L 80 - 131
2026-01-13 vs MUW L 65 - 85

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Garrison Breedlove - 1 18.9 20.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 14.0 - - - 69.2 0.0 50.0 - 67.8 69.2
Ashton Peters - 1 17.3 12.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 5.0 - - - 44.4 25.0 60.0 - 53.6 50.0
Chandler McSwain - 1 28.6 9.0 3.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 9.0 -2.0 - - - 44.4 0.0 33.3 - 43.6 44.4
Tony Mora - 1 24.9 7.0 3.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 75.0 100.0 0.0 - 78.8 87.5
Dillon Woods - 2 28.3 6.5 6.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 8.0 - - - 38.5 25.0 50.0 - 44.0 42.3
Steven Black - 1 7.9 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 90.4 75.0
A'Donnis McGill - 1 19.7 5.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0 25.0 - 52.5 66.7
Keyshawn Johnson - 1 5.4 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -2.0 11 1.0 26.3 33.3 0.0 100.0 -0.38 43.6 33.3
Omarion McCann - 1 2.9 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Johnny Sims - 2 12.7 0.5 0.5 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 2.0 -1.5 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 10.2 0.0
Ayden McDeavitt - 1 14.3 0.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 0.0 -1.0 -4 -0.3 -4.8 0 0 0 -1.34 0 0
Jacoby Robinson - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 97 5.4 43.6 0.0 0.0 0 1.46 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG