South Dakota St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#469) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 913 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#586) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.3 (#171) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.7 (#338) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.997 (#86) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.135 (#516) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.995 (#54) | AdjNet +45.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.375 (#450) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.996 (#54) | AdjNet +45.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.391 (#449) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.955 (#33) | AdjO 89.2 | AdjD 55.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#451) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#471) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#410) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.438 (#408) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 850 (#430) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | vs | Z_Do_Not_Use_Johnson & Wales (CO) | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-14 | vs | Presentation | - | Preview |
| 2015-11-18 | vs | Mary | L | 48 - 74 |
| 2015-11-25 | @ | St. Cloud St. | W | 87 - 86 |
| 2015-12-03 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 43 - 51 |
| 2015-12-11 | @ | Regis (CO) | L | 59 - 67 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 71 - 64 |
| 2015-12-18 | vs | Western N.M. | L | 54 - 67 |
| 2015-12-19 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 87 - 55 |
| 2016-01-01 | @ | Colorado Mesa | L | 55 - 64 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 49 - 71 |
| 2016-01-08 | vs | Chadron St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | Regis (CO) | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | CSU Pueblo | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Western Colo. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | UCCS | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | MSU Denver | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 46 - 67 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Colo. Christian | L | 45 - 78 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | Fort Lewis | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Adams St. | W | 58 - 43 |
| 2016-02-12 | vs | Westminster (UT) | L | 53 - 61 |
| 2016-02-13 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 52 - 54 |
| 2016-02-19 | @ | MSU Denver | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | @ | UCCS | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-24 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 34 - 55 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.