South Alabama
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2020 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#469) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 913 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#586) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.3 (#171) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.7 (#338) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.795 (#246) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.135 (#516) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.850 (#246) | AdjNet +15.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.375 (#450) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.856 (#246) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.391 (#449) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#251) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#451) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#471) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#410) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.438 (#408) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 850 (#430) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-09 | vs | Waldorf | W | 80 - 52 |
| 2019-11-16 | @ | Mont. St. Billings | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2019-11-21 | vs | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 65 - 78 |
| 2019-11-26 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 47 - 55 |
| 2019-12-06 | @ | Utah Tech | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2019-12-07 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2019-12-13 | vs | Fort Lewis | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2019-12-14 | vs | Adams St. | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2019-12-19 | vs | Presentation | W | 90 - 41 |
| 2020-01-03 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2020-01-04 | vs | Western Colo. | L | 74 - 80 |
| 2020-01-10 | @ | Regis (CO) | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | Colo. Christian | W | 68 - 56 |
| 2020-01-17 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2020-01-18 | vs | UCCS | W | 74 - 58 |
| 2020-01-24 | @ | CSU Pueblo | W | 71 - 47 |
| 2020-01-25 | @ | N.M. Highlands | W | 83 - 59 |
| 2020-01-31 | @ | MSU Denver | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 77 - 59 |
| 2020-02-07 | vs | N.M. Highlands | W | 81 - 53 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | CSU Pueblo | W | 61 - 58 |
| 2020-02-14 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2020-02-15 | vs | MSU Denver | W | 61 - 35 |
| 2020-02-21 | @ | UCCS | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2020-02-22 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 77 - 75 |
| 2020-02-28 | vs | Black Hills St. | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 70 - 76 |
2020 Roster
No roster data available for this season.