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South Alabama

Also known as: South Alabama
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 872 (#469) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 913 (#421) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 928 (#586) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.3 (#171) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → +1.7 (#338) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.795 (#246) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.135 (#516) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.1 More → 0.850 (#246) AdjNet +15.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -4.4 More → 0.375 (#450) AdjNet -4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.0 More → 0.856 (#246) AdjNet +15.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.7 More → 0.391 (#449) AdjNet -3.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 60.4 More → 0.707 (#251) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 66.5 More → 0.442 (#451) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 66.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1 More → 0.448 (#471) AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.442 (#410) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.438 (#408) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 854 (#431) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs St. Mary's (TX) L 50 - 54
2025-11-16 vs St. Edward's L 79 - 85
2025-11-19 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 57 - 45
2025-11-21 @ Sioux Falls L 59 - 84
2025-11-22 @ Northern St. L 51 - 64
2025-11-25 @ Colorado St. L 43 - 88
2025-11-29 vs Minot St. L 69 - 75
2025-12-06 @ Chadron St. W 75 - 51
2025-12-11 vs Colo. Christian W 63 - 60
2025-12-13 vs CSU Pueblo L 60 - 70
2025-12-21 @ Neb.-Kearney L 67 - 80
2026-01-10 @ Colo. Sch. of Mines L 76 - 78
2026-01-15 vs Fort Lewis L 58 - 71
2026-01-17 vs Adams St. L 74 - 101
2026-01-22 @ Western Colo. L 61 - 73
2026-01-24 @ Westminster (UT) L 61 - 77
2026-01-29 vs Chadron St. W 76 - 59
2026-01-31 @ Black Hills St. L 41 - 58
2026-02-05 @ UCCS L 38 - 64
2026-02-07 @ Colo. Christian W 67 - 58

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jillian Aschoff - 1 35.0 31.0 9.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 20.0 28.0 52 2.7 7.5 70.0 40.0 50.0 -3.27 74.2 75.0
Savea Mansfield - 19 31.2 14.5 4.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 1.5 10.3 9.5 -69 -3.0 -11.7 46.9 22.7 83.7 -1.19 57.1 48.2
Gosia Byczkowska - 1 30.0 13.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 55.6 50.0 0 - 72.2 72.2
Morning Grace Spotted Bear - 19 28.2 11.1 6.3 2.0 1.6 0.5 2.7 11.4 7.3 -11 -0.5 -2.0 36.9 31.2 70.0 0.9 43.9 40.3
Tara Biocanin - 1 26.0 11.0 8.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 15.0 107 5.1 19.2 71.4 0 50.0 4.28 69.8 71.4
Addison Miranda - 19 32.8 9.6 2.3 0.7 1.3 0.2 1.1 8.3 4.7 -91 -4.1 -15.1 38.6 35.7 84.2 0.85 55.0 52.8
Jordan Sears - 1 31.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 8.0 57 2.6 9.3 100.0 0 0.0 -0.24 75.2 100.0
Saniya Simmons - 1 25.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 82 4.6 22.1 25.0 50.0 100.0 -1.39 39.4 31.2
Carolina Ruiz Molina - 19 24.5 6.1 2.4 2.3 0.9 0.0 2.5 5.5 3.7 -40 -1.8 -11.0 34.6 33.3 65.8 -3.34 47.6 43.3
Myleigh Weers - 1 29.0 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 5.0 106 5.3 15.0 16.7 0.0 100.0 0.34 38.7 16.7
Emma Martin - 19 19.2 5.5 1.4 1.1 1.4 0.3 1.4 4.4 3.8 47 2.1 13.6 35.7 21.9 79.2 0.37 49.9 39.9
Alexis Backhaus - 18 24.8 4.7 2.4 1.5 1.2 0.0 1.5 4.4 3.9 -96 -4.4 -26.3 38.0 35.1 75.0 -1.05 49.4 46.2
Lauren Herman - 13 8.7 3.5 2.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.8 2.3 -37 -2.5 -35.3 28.0 30.0 83.3 0.97 42.7 40.0
Addie Sullivan - 1 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 23 5.8 175.8 100.0 100.0 0 -0.89 150.0 150.0
Megan Alexander - 9 7.5 2.9 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 3.1 2.2 -15 -1.4 -19.8 28.6 28.6 75.0 -2.43 41.2 35.7
Abigail Dille - 19 10.3 2.7 1.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.1 3.5 0.5 -26 -1.2 -6.8 24.2 3.7 81.8 1.29 33.7 25.0
Janay Kravig - 3 6.2 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 66.7 66.7 0 - 100.0 100.0
Reese Terwilliger - 14 6.7 1.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.3 -40 -2.2 -59.5 34.8 0.0 87.5 0.97 43.4 34.8
Samantha Darnell - 16 16.4 1.3 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.2 1.9 2.6 -67 -3.9 -16.0 23.3 25.0 35.7 -4.86 29.0 26.7
Sannah Windy Boy - 5 6.0 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 1.0 -7 -1.8 -34.6 37.5 0.0 0 0.32 37.5 37.5
Lynnae Green - 1 11.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -1.0 -15 -1.4 -10.0 0.0 0 50.0 -1.69 26.6 0.0
Madeline Hartel - 6 3.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.8 -1 -0.2 -3.8 40.0 66.7 0 0.09 60.0 60.0
Abigail Richter - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32 2.9 138.6 0 0 0 -1.4 0 0
Emma Rowan - 1 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 -3.0 62 3.3 26.5 0.0 0.0 0 1.24 0.0 0.0
Paige Horne - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 32 1.8 16.0 0 0 0 0.44 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG