South Alabama
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 872 (#469) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 913 (#421) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 928 (#586) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.3 (#171) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.7 (#338) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.795 (#246) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.135 (#516) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.850 (#246) | AdjNet +15.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.375 (#450) | AdjNet -4.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.856 (#246) | AdjNet +15.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.391 (#449) | AdjNet -3.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#251) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.442 (#451) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 66.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.448 (#471) | AdjO 61.8 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.442 (#410) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.438 (#408) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 854 (#431) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 50 - 54 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | St. Edward's | L | 79 - 85 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 57 - 45 |
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Sioux Falls | L | 59 - 84 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Northern St. | L | 51 - 64 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Colorado St. | L | 43 - 88 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Minot St. | L | 69 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Chadron St. | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 63 - 60 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | CSU Pueblo | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Neb.-Kearney | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Fort Lewis | L | 58 - 71 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Adams St. | L | 74 - 101 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Western Colo. | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Westminster (UT) | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Chadron St. | W | 76 - 59 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Black Hills St. | L | 41 - 58 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | UCCS | L | 38 - 64 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Colo. Christian | W | 67 - 58 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jillian Aschoff | - | 1 | 35.0 | 31.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 20.0 | 28.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 7.5 | 70.0 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -3.27 | 74.2 | 75.0 |
| Savea Mansfield | - | 19 | 31.2 | 14.5 | 4.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 10.3 | 9.5 | -69 | -3.0 | -11.7 | 46.9 | 22.7 | 83.7 | -1.19 | 57.1 | 48.2 |
| Gosia Byczkowska | - | 1 | 30.0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 72.2 | 72.2 |
| Morning Grace Spotted Bear | - | 19 | 28.2 | 11.1 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 11.4 | 7.3 | -11 | -0.5 | -2.0 | 36.9 | 31.2 | 70.0 | 0.9 | 43.9 | 40.3 |
| Tara Biocanin | - | 1 | 26.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | 107 | 5.1 | 19.2 | 71.4 | 0 | 50.0 | 4.28 | 69.8 | 71.4 |
| Addison Miranda | - | 19 | 32.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 8.3 | 4.7 | -91 | -4.1 | -15.1 | 38.6 | 35.7 | 84.2 | 0.85 | 55.0 | 52.8 |
| Jordan Sears | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 57 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.24 | 75.2 | 100.0 |
| Saniya Simmons | - | 1 | 25.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 82 | 4.6 | 22.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -1.39 | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| Carolina Ruiz Molina | - | 19 | 24.5 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.5 | 3.7 | -40 | -1.8 | -11.0 | 34.6 | 33.3 | 65.8 | -3.34 | 47.6 | 43.3 |
| Myleigh Weers | - | 1 | 29.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 106 | 5.3 | 15.0 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.34 | 38.7 | 16.7 |
| Emma Martin | - | 19 | 19.2 | 5.5 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.4 | 3.8 | 47 | 2.1 | 13.6 | 35.7 | 21.9 | 79.2 | 0.37 | 49.9 | 39.9 |
| Alexis Backhaus | - | 18 | 24.8 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.4 | 3.9 | -96 | -4.4 | -26.3 | 38.0 | 35.1 | 75.0 | -1.05 | 49.4 | 46.2 |
| Lauren Herman | - | 13 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 3.8 | 2.3 | -37 | -2.5 | -35.3 | 28.0 | 30.0 | 83.3 | 0.97 | 42.7 | 40.0 |
| Addie Sullivan | - | 1 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 23 | 5.8 | 175.8 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Megan Alexander | - | 9 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | -15 | -1.4 | -19.8 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 75.0 | -2.43 | 41.2 | 35.7 |
| Abigail Dille | - | 19 | 10.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 | -26 | -1.2 | -6.8 | 24.2 | 3.7 | 81.8 | 1.29 | 33.7 | 25.0 |
| Janay Kravig | - | 3 | 6.2 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 66.7 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Reese Terwilliger | - | 14 | 6.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | -40 | -2.2 | -59.5 | 34.8 | 0.0 | 87.5 | 0.97 | 43.4 | 34.8 |
| Samantha Darnell | - | 16 | 16.4 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 | -67 | -3.9 | -16.0 | 23.3 | 25.0 | 35.7 | -4.86 | 29.0 | 26.7 |
| Sannah Windy Boy | - | 5 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.0 | -7 | -1.8 | -34.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.32 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Lynnae Green | - | 1 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -15 | -1.4 | -10.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.69 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Madeline Hartel | - | 6 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | -1 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 40.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.09 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Abigail Richter | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32 | 2.9 | 138.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Emma Rowan | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | 62 | 3.3 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Paige Horne | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 32 | 1.8 | 16.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG