🐻⬇️🏀

Skidmore

Also known as: Skidmore
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 932 (#362) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 936 (#417) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1015 (#329) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -0.1 (#192) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +1.7 (#341) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.682 (#372) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.9 More → 0.217 (#443) NetEff -8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +11.1 More → 0.782 (#279) AdjNet +11.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.8 More → 0.783 (#279) AdjNet +10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 55.6 More → 0.598 (#303) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 55.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 55.9 More → 0.591 (#243) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 55.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.548 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.560 (#330) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 997 (#316) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Williams W 73 - 69
2025-11-19 @ Trinity (CT) L 56 - 72
2025-11-22 vs Bowdoin L 46 - 68
2025-12-02 @ Middlebury L 49 - 62
2026-01-10 @ Rensselaer L 47 - 51
2026-01-16 @ St. Lawrence L 59 - 61
2026-01-17 @ Clarkson W 77 - 48
2026-01-20 vs Vassar L 50 - 53
2026-01-23 vs Bard W 54 - 29
2026-01-27 vs Union (NY) W 71 - 54
2026-01-30 vs Rensselaer L 61 - 68
2026-01-31 vs William Smith W 62 - 39
2026-02-03 @ Vassar W 59 - 55
2026-02-06 @ Union (NY) L 54 - 59
2026-02-07 @ Bard W 67 - 31

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Madison Meyer - 15 23.8 11.8 3.7 2.2 2.5 0.0 1.7 12.8 5.7 -49 -2.5 -13.6 37.0 19.6 63.4 1.37 42.1 39.3
Sophia Martinez - 14 24.8 9.6 2.4 1.5 2.3 0.1 4.1 10.0 1.8 -50 -2.6 -13.6 39.3 32.3 51.9 1.81 44.1 42.9
Claudia Schneider - 15 27.7 9.1 5.3 1.4 2.0 0.5 1.3 8.9 8.1 -48 -2.4 -11.5 42.1 35.3 55.9 2.14 46.3 44.4
Sara Hastie - 15 22.7 5.3 3.8 2.5 1.9 0.3 1.3 5.3 7.1 -25 -1.2 -6.8 35.4 25.9 66.7 1.12 44.1 39.9
Meghan Drury - 15 14.7 4.9 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.0 1.5 4.7 0.6 -20 -1.0 -7.8 42.3 34.3 50.0 -0.43 50.9 50.7
Ruby Krop - 15 22.1 4.3 5.3 0.7 0.9 3.1 1.3 5.1 7.9 -52 -2.6 -14.3 31.6 21.4 72.2 1.05 38.1 33.6
Stella Criniti - 12 16.8 4.3 1.8 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.2 5.3 1.2 4 0.2 1.5 31.2 28.1 75.0 0.01 39.5 38.3
Audrey Bowen - 11 15.3 4.2 4.3 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.9 2.8 7.1 -21 -1.5 -8.0 51.6 0 58.3 0.9 55.3 51.6
Rachel Carpenter - 14 11.5 3.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 2.6 1.1 -22 -1.2 -16.7 45.9 47.1 50.0 -0.61 67.3 67.6
Haley McCarthy - 4 6.0 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.5 9 1.3 17.3 45.5 40.0 0 0.56 54.5 54.5
Melissa Severino - 15 17.5 2.5 3.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 1.1 2.2 3.8 -28 -1.4 -9.9 45.5 40.0 83.3 2.19 51.9 48.5
Jenny Shine - 12 12.3 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.8 0.3 2.2 1.8 12 0.7 6.5 37.0 20.0 33.3 3.06 38.8 38.9
Cairenn Sergi - 4 5.5 0.0 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 1.8 1.0 -0.2 8 2.0 17.7 0.0 0.0 0 0.39 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG