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Simpson

Also known as: Simpson
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 921 (#497) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 966 (#423) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 933 (#629) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -2.6 (#231) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -4.7 (#430) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.236 (#637) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.213 (#526) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.6 More → 0.206 (#528) AdjNet -11.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.9 More → 0.328 (#503) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 80.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 More → 0.484 (#445) AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.366 (#524) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.379 (#521) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 24 More → 953 (#431) RD 95 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Benedictine (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 @ Illinois Col. - Incomplete score
2025-11-10 @ Drake - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 @ Augsburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Lewis & Clark - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Saint John's (MN) - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Dominican (IL) - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Wis.-Eau Claire - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Wis.-Whitewater - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Loras - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Buena Vista - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 vs Gustavus Adolphus - Incomplete score
2025-12-30 @ Bethel (MN) - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Luther - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Coe - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 vs Central (IA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ Dubuque - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs UC Santa Cruz - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Wartburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Loras - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 vs Luther - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Neb. Wesleyan - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Buena Vista - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Timothy Parker - 1 36.0 20.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 18.0 12.0 - - - 44.4 33.3 100.0 - 51.8 47.2
Pablo Correa - 1 33.4 18.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 15.0 19.0 - - - 46.7 14.3 75.0 - 53.7 50.0
Cam Henderson - 20 29.7 17.5 2.6 1.8 1.4 0.2 1.5 12.6 9.4 45 2.2 11.1 46.8 43.9 84.8 2.89 59.8 54.0
Jack Jillson - 1 31.0 17.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 13.0 - - - 54.5 57.1 33.3 - 69.0 72.7
Joe Espy - 1 22.0 17.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 12.0 11.0 -93 -5.2 -54.2 66.7 33.3 0 1.83 70.8 70.8
Levi Gurwell - 20 27.5 15.0 2.9 2.8 0.8 0.1 2.1 11.2 8.3 59 3.0 19.1 43.9 37.4 82.9 1.96 59.1 54.3
Austin Bienemann - 1 34.0 15.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 20.0 12.0 9 0.4 1.6 35.0 0.0 33.3 1.11 35.2 35.0
Cael Schramm - 1 27.0 14.0 8.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 12.0 10.0 -46 -2.2 -10.1 41.7 0 100.0 -1.32 50.9 41.7
Ben Lim - 1 28.0 13.0 12.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 14.0 11.0 -76 -5.4 -37.0 42.9 20.0 0 0.93 46.4 46.4
Calix Cahill - 11 24.0 12.9 7.0 1.7 0.6 0.5 1.9 9.4 11.5 62 5.2 28.8 52.4 0.0 66.7 2.94 56.6 52.4
Leo Wagner - 1 27.0 12.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 6.0 12.0 -86 -5.4 -73.4 66.7 60.0 50.0 1.17 87.2 91.7
Ethan Yungtum - 1 26.0 11.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 10.0 50 2.4 9.9 37.5 100.0 75.0 2.53 56.4 50.0
Hunter Kennedy - 1 28.0 10.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 10.0 -74 -5.3 -80.3 50.0 33.3 0 -3.73 62.5 62.5
Gabe Trujillo - 1 27.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 10.0 0 0.0 0.0 75.0 100.0 66.7 0.03 84.6 87.5
Luke Ladwig - 1 29.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 1.0 38 1.9 8.2 42.9 50.0 25.0 1.97 45.7 50.0
Isaac Averill - 15 23.1 7.7 4.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 6.5 6.3 -11 -0.7 -4.4 46.4 42.9 59.1 -1.19 53.9 52.6
DaMari Tate - 1 25.5 7.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 7.0 - - - 42.9 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Bo Huston - 20 18.7 6.3 4.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 5.3 6.0 -61 -3.0 -23.7 39.6 35.2 69.2 -3.06 54.1 51.4
Aidan Carleson - 1 18.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 -98 -5.4 -117.6 66.7 100.0 50.0 -5.62 77.3 83.3
Thomas Conley - 1 23.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 -109 -6.8 -77.8 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.14 63.0 33.3
Jaden Gamez - 1 16.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 1.0 4 0.3 20.8 40.0 25.0 0 0.0 50.0 50.0
Vuk Stanic - 1 10.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 75.0 - 52.5 33.3
Marcus Haupert - 20 14.4 4.9 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 4.0 3.9 1 0.1 0.6 50.0 0 66.7 1.02 53.3 50.0
Seth Gipple - 19 12.9 4.7 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 4.4 2.1 -8 -0.4 -8.7 38.1 34.5 75.0 -0.52 50.8 49.4
Spencer Holley - 20 24.4 4.7 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.8 4.8 15 0.8 4.2 34.7 22.9 57.1 -2.14 42.6 38.9
Emmanuel Seddoh - 1 20.7 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 6.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Colton Rasmussen - 5 10.9 4.0 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.8 2.6 3.0 -38 -7.6 -258.4 53.8 44.4 100.0 -2.65 72.0 69.2
Miles Burrows - 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 -27 -1.6 -20.1 50.0 0.0 0 1.09 50.0 50.0
Jachin Mertes - 19 12.9 3.8 2.9 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 3.9 3.1 -76 -4.2 -69.8 44.6 37.5 33.3 -5.58 46.2 46.6
Camden Seuferer - 6 10.5 3.3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.0 -32 -4.6 -39.0 46.2 50.0 60.0 -1.8 57.5 53.8
Nathaniel Winter - 1 15.7 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 4.0 - - - 33.3 33.3 0 - 50.0 50.0
Ollie Miller - 1 10.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 -6 -3.0 -20.4 100.0 100.0 0 0.94 150.0 150.0
Brogan Fuller - 20 15.8 2.6 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 2.5 4.3 30 1.5 12.3 44.9 26.1 50.0 1.25 51.2 51.0
Elijah Brookes - 1 14.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 -6 -0.5 -55.4 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.62 41.0 50.0
Jayden Maten - 1 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Drake Wemark - 1 18.0 2.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 7.0 -14 -0.7 -3.6 50.0 0.0 0 -0.39 50.0 50.0
Michael Kasperbauer - 7 11.9 1.9 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.3 -10 -1.7 -17.8 25.0 33.3 66.7 -1.34 44.4 37.5
Mateo Dzolota - 5 11.5 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.6 -15 -3.8 -42.9 18.2 33.3 100.0 -1.57 29.5 22.7
Logan Kowalski - 2 2.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 3 1.5 33.0 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Preston Daedlow - 1 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 2.0 38.7 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jace Mills - 1 1.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -38 -3.2 -24.0 0 0 0 -2.19 0 0
Trey Conrad - 1 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Kellen Torrey - 1 5.3 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Hunter Hughes - 1 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Caleb Dyvig - 1 6.6 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Teni Salako - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -7 -1.4 -31.6 0 0 0 -0.84 0 0
Darren Naruse - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.2 -6.8 0 0 0 0.5 0 0
Dominic Braet - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -12 -4.0 -71.3 0 0 0 - 0 0
Drew Britson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -30 -5.0 -95.7 0 0 0 -1.1 0 0
Patrick Murtagh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -11 -11.0 -65.3 0 0 0 - 0 0
Noah Franck - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Evan Gray - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -16 -4.0 -241.5 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keaton Rothmeyer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Brody Bauer - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -2.5 -89.1 0 0 0 -1.24 0 0
Clay Nielsen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -15 -3.8 -89.1 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lyle Olsen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -22 -1.5 -11.1 0 0 0 -2.79 0 0
Brewer Eiklenborg - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -1.0 -4.0 0 0 0 - 0 0
Garrett Hempen - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -20 -10.0 -10.1 0 0 0 -3.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG