Simpson (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2019 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#311) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 914 (#449) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 947 (#568) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +2.3 (#332) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.036 (#680) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.002 (#580) | NetEff -38.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.095 (#551) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.087 (#548) | AdjNet -19.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.270 (#530) | AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 65.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.582 (#257) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 61.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#362) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.526 (#360) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 943 (#374) | RD 89 | GP 24 |
2019 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-11-11 | vs | Millikin | W | 100 - 65 |
| 2018-11-16 | @ | Saint Mary's (MN) | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2018-11-17 | @ | Saint Benedict | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2018-11-28 | @ | Wartburg | L | 69 - 83 |
| 2018-12-03 | @ | Luther | W | 81 - 64 |
| 2018-12-05 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 82 - 56 |
| 2018-12-08 | vs | Waldorf | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2018-12-15 | @ | Concordia-M'head | W | 86 - 69 |
| 2018-12-20 | @ | Marietta | L | 60 - 71 |
| 2018-12-21 | vs | Curry | W | 68 - 51 |
| 2018-12-28 | @ | Elmhurst | - | Preview |
| 2018-12-29 | @ | Alverno | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-02 | vs | Loras | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2019-01-05 | @ | Dubuque | - | Preview |
| 2019-01-09 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 84 - 58 |
| 2019-01-16 | @ | Central (IA) | W | 61 - 48 |
| 2019-01-19 | vs | Coe | W | 78 - 73 |
| 2019-01-23 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 75 - 53 |
| 2019-01-26 | vs | Dubuque | W | 91 - 55 |
| 2019-01-31 | vs | Wartburg | L | 73 - 88 |
| 2019-02-02 | @ | Loras | - | Preview |
| 2019-02-04 | vs | Luther | W | 65 - 55 |
| 2019-02-06 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 80 - 82 |
| 2019-02-13 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 92 - 71 |
| 2019-02-16 | @ | Coe | W | 78 - 76 |
| 2019-02-19 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 92 - 72 |
| 2019-02-21 | @ | Loras | - | Preview |
2019 Roster
No roster data available for this season.