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Simpson (CA)

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Simpson (CA)
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 965 (#311) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 914 (#449) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 947 (#568) HCA +62 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +2.3 (#332) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.036 (#680) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -38.2 More → 0.002 (#580) NetEff -38.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.6 More → 0.095 (#551) AdjNet -19.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.6 More → 0.087 (#548) AdjNet -19.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.270 (#530) AdjO 55.0 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 61.2 More → 0.582 (#257) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 61.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.525 (#361) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.526 (#360) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 89 | GP 24 More → 941 (#383) RD 89 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Alma W 73 - 70
2025-11-15 @ Wheaton (IL) W 74 - 47
2025-11-22 vs Wis.-Eau Claire L 75 - 87
2025-11-29 @ Wis.-Platteville L 61 - 72
2025-11-30 vs Saint Mary's (MN) L 70 - 76
2025-12-06 vs Loras W 87 - 59
2025-12-12 @ Linfield L 39 - 68
2025-12-13 vs Buena Vista W 75 - 66
2025-12-19 @ DePauw L 60 - 80
2025-12-20 @ Ohio Wesleyan L 59 - 67
2025-12-29 vs Concordia Wisconsin W 71 - 68
2025-12-30 @ Lake Forest W 85 - 50
2026-01-03 @ Luther L 51 - 66
2026-01-07 @ Neb. Wesleyan W 61 - 40
2026-01-10 vs Coe L 65 - 68
2026-01-13 vs UC Santa Cruz L 39 - 78
2026-01-14 vs Central (IA) W 70 - 55
2026-01-17 @ Dubuque W 84 - 52
2026-01-21 @ Wartburg L 39 - 58
2026-01-24 @ Loras W 73 - 59
2026-01-31 vs Luther L 76 - 85
2026-02-04 vs Neb. Wesleyan W 87 - 51
2026-02-05 @ UC Santa Cruz L 62 - 74
2026-02-07 @ Buena Vista L 57 - 73

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Maddax DeVault - 21 31.2 17.5 2.2 2.9 1.9 0.0 3.7 16.0 5.0 - - - 41.5 33.8 86.0 - 51.5 48.5
Anna Marshall - 3 32.8 16.3 4.3 1.0 3.3 0.0 2.7 16.3 6.0 -19 -1.1 -23.7 34.7 17.6 60.0 -3.21 42.4 37.8
Nisha King - 1 21.2 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 10.0 1.0 - - - 50.0 50.0 50.0 - 55.3 55.0
Destiny Nichols - 1 22.5 13.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 15.0 -4.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 75.0 - 38.8 33.3
Taylor Hansen - 21 26.7 10.5 3.1 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.7 8.0 6.5 - - - 42.3 36.6 84.1 - 56.5 50.0
Karsen Jacks - 5 27.4 10.4 4.8 3.2 2.2 0.0 3.0 6.0 11.6 - - - 43.3 42.9 74.2 - 59.6 48.3
Ella Anderson - 21 30.3 9.4 7.2 1.7 1.7 0.1 1.6 6.8 11.9 -16 -0.8 -5.0 60.6 27.3 57.1 1.95 62.9 62.7
Andrea Perez - 1 35.9 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 0.0 - - - 15.4 20.0 75.0 - 27.1 19.2
Doryn Paup - 21 19.2 6.6 5.4 1.4 0.6 0.6 1.8 6.1 6.6 - - - 49.6 0 68.8 - 51.1 49.6
Te'Niyah Lindsey - 2 17.8 6.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.5 -2.0 - - - 33.3 0 100.0 - 39.8 33.3
Keira McCormick - 18 8.1 6.4 2.8 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 5.1 5.5 - - - 52.2 0 76.9 - 56.1 52.2
Elle Street - 21 27.1 6.0 3.3 2.7 2.2 0.4 2.0 5.6 7.0 - - - 33.3 25.8 85.1 - 45.8 36.8
Cerina Nguyen - 2 18.7 5.5 8.0 0.5 3.0 3.5 2.5 6.0 12.0 - - - 41.7 0.0 50.0 - 42.7 41.7
Nikki Thompson - 1 30.5 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 0.0 - - - 25.0 16.7 0 - 31.2 31.2
Natalie Brown - 1 29.9 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 7.0 -5.0 9 1.5 229.8 28.6 0.0 0 0.71 28.6 28.6
Reagan Grimsley - 21 15.3 3.4 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.7 1.4 3.2 4.0 - - - 36.8 16.7 74.1 - 44.4 37.5
Lupe Lemus - 3 19.6 3.3 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.7 4.7 - - - 60.0 0 66.7 - 65.4 60.0
Mariah Napoleon - 1 13.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 150.0 150.0
Moriah Bowles - 2 29.7 3.0 3.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.5 - - - 14.3 20.0 0 - 21.4 21.4
Mollie Schnormeier - 4 2.9 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.8 - - - 50.0 60.0 0 - 68.8 68.8
Ava Levings - 19 7.4 2.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.3 -26 -2.2 -73.3 51.6 50.0 62.5 -1.51 59.4 58.1
Erica Rust - 5 3.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.6 1.6 - - - 62.5 0 0 - 62.5 62.5
Jacey Hernandez - 1 16.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 -3.0 6 0.5 45.7 0.0 0 50.0 1.44 26.6 0.0
Angie Iheanachor - 1 19.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 - - - 25.0 0 0 - 25.0 25.0
Morgan Christian - 20 13.5 1.9 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.2 2.1 3.5 - - - 37.2 28.6 83.3 - 42.7 39.5
Macy Gaskill - 8 8.8 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.0 -0.1 - - - 25.0 10.0 0.0 - 25.7 27.1
Lili Duckmann - 19 6.4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 2.1 0.4 - - - 22.5 0.0 42.1 - 26.9 22.5
Megan Darensbourg - 5 3.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1.4 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Makenzie Hughes - 5 4.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 10 1.2 35.0 40.0 50.0 0 -0.91 50.0 50.0
Monet Durham - 1 21.7 1.0 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0
Leah Weaver - 13 6.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 - - - 30.8 42.9 0 - 42.3 42.3
Averie White - 3 3.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.7 26 1.4 20.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.75 0.0 0.0
Tessa Kinney - 1 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Haily Garcia - 2 19.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Monet Dunham - 1 21.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -1.0 -107 -5.6 -26.5 0.0 0 0 -2.3 0.0 0.0
Harley Wilson - 1 18.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Samantha Wilberding - 1 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Breya Nickle - 1 1.3 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Angie Iheanacahor - 1 7.9 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG