Simpson (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#488) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#629) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.7 (#430) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.130 (#716) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.149 (#585) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#583) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.260 (#584) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#445) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.366 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 952 (#423) | RD 96 | GP 24 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-08 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | W | 106 - 81 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 73 - 69 |
| 2022-11-13 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 83 - 63 |
| 2022-11-16 | vs | Cornell College | W | 74 - 66 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Loras | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2022-11-26 | vs | Knox | W | 101 - 71 |
| 2022-11-30 | @ | Bethany Lutheran | L | 96 - 99 |
| 2022-12-03 | vs | Coe | W | 74 - 63 |
| 2022-12-10 | @ | Wartburg | W | 79 - 67 |
| 2022-12-19 | vs | Stevenson | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2022-12-20 | @ | Muskingum | W | 69 - 65 |
| 2023-01-04 | @ | Buena Vista | W | 88 - 76 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Luther | W | 85 - 72 |
| 2023-01-11 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 69 - 80 |
| 2023-01-14 | vs | Dubuque | L | 74 - 86 |
| 2023-01-18 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 64 - 73 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Coe | L | 76 - 87 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Loras | L | 59 - 79 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Wartburg | L | 74 - 81 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Luther | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Buena Vista | W | 87 - 62 |
| 2023-02-11 | @ | Dubuque | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2023-02-15 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2023-02-18 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 74 - 76 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.