Simpson (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#488) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#629) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.7 (#430) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.130 (#716) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.149 (#585) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#583) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.260 (#584) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#445) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.366 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 958 (#420) | RD 96 | GP 24 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | @ | Fontbonne | L | 61 - 68 |
| 2021-11-13 | @ | Westminster (MO) | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2021-11-16 | vs | Faith Bapt. Bible | W | 101 - 64 |
| 2021-11-19 | @ | Wayne St. (NE) | L | 72 - 95 |
| 2021-11-23 | @ | Loras | L | 57 - 83 |
| 2021-11-27 | vs | Hannibal-La Grange | W | 62 - 60 |
| 2021-11-28 | vs | Northland | W | 75 - 74 |
| 2021-12-04 | @ | Coe | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Wartburg | L | 59 - 77 |
| 2021-12-20 | vs | Cornell College | L | 0 - 0 |
| 2021-12-29 | @ | Carroll (WI) | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2021-12-30 | vs | Tufts | L | 61 - 78 |
| 2022-01-03 | @ | Cornell College | L | 69 - 74 |
| 2022-01-05 | vs | Buena Vista | L | 74 - 88 |
| 2022-01-15 | @ | Dubuque | L | 48 - 69 |
| 2022-01-19 | vs | Central (IA) | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2022-01-22 | vs | Coe | L | 62 - 84 |
| 2022-01-24 | @ | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 73 - 77 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | Loras | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2022-01-29 | @ | Wartburg | L | 67 - 81 |
| 2022-01-31 | @ | Luther | L | 48 - 55 |
| 2022-02-05 | vs | Luther | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-09 | @ | Buena Vista | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Dubuque | L | 68 - 90 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | L | 66 - 75 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | Central (IA) | L | 73 - 89 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.