Simpson (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2021 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 935 (#488) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 908 (#484) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 933 (#629) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.7 (#430) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.130 (#716) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.149 (#585) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.146 (#583) | AdjNet -15.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.260 (#584) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 80.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.484 (#445) | AdjO 73.4 | AdjD 74.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.366 (#524) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.379 (#521) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 952 (#423) | RD 96 | GP 24 |
2021 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-12 | @ | Wartburg | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2021-01-16 | vs | Luther | - | Preview |
| 2021-01-23 | vs | Dubuque | L | 65 - 84 |
| 2021-01-28 | @ | Buena Vista | L | 72 - 88 |
| 2021-01-30 | @ | Coe | L | 64 - 84 |
| 2021-02-03 | vs | Central (IA) | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2021-02-06 | @ | Dubuque | L | 74 - 87 |
| 2021-02-08 | vs | Luther | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2021-02-27 | vs | Loras | W | 102 - 100 |
| 2021-03-03 | vs | Wartburg | L | 77 - 83 |
| 2021-03-09 | @ | Coe | L | 88 - 94 |
2021 Roster
No roster data available for this season.