Simmons (KY) - 2026 | Sports Data

Model Outputs

2025-2026

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1019 (#231)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1049 (#198)	-
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More →	1015 (#278)	HCA +75 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More →	-2.3 (#396)	HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.012 (#617)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -36.1 More →	0.015 (#685)	AdjNet -36.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -35.6 More →	0.014 (#684)	AdjNet -35.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 54.4 \| AdjD 79.8 More →	0.091 (#690)	AdjO 54.4 \| AdjD 79.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 \| AdjD 63.1 More →	0.491 (#387)	AdjO 62.7 \| AdjD 63.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.440 (#413)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More →	0.447 (#399)	Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 325 \| GP 1 More →	1065 (#183)	RD 325 \| GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2025-12-09	@	Central St. (OH)	W	57 - 53

2026 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
Morgan Defoor	-	1	40.0	25.0	4.0	4.0	7.0	0.0	4.0	22.0	14.0	-	-	-	36.4	28.6	50.0	-	47.3	45.5
Calise Mathis	-	1	16.2	8.0	8.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.0	4.0	14.0	-	-	-	50.0	0	66.7	-	60.2	50.0
Andrea Seay	-	1	36.4	6.0	8.0	2.0	2.0	1.0	3.0	9.0	7.0	-	-	-	22.2	0.0	100.0	-	30.4	22.2
Christen Stone	-	1	22.4	5.0	6.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	4.0	3.0	6.0	-	-	-	0.0	0	50.0	-	33.8	0.0
Ranyia Murphy	-	1	13.8	5.0	2.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	3.0	3.0	-	-	-	33.3	33.3	100.0	-	64.4	50.0
Kyndall Thompson	-	1	14.7	5.0	4.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0	8.0	-1.0	116	5.8	51.2	25.0	0	25.0	1.09	25.6	25.0
Kia Gurton	-	1	24.0	2.0	7.0	0.0	1.0	2.0	2.0	5.0	5.0	-	-	-	20.0	0.0	0	-	20.0	20.0
Precious Hereford	-	1	28.3	1.0	3.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	3.0	1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	50.0	-	12.9	0.0
Curstine Ellis	-	1	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0
Janiesse Armstrong	-	1	2.8	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	-1.0	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0	-	0.0	0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG