Siena Heights
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1020 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#325) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#299) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.8 (#133) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.951 (#221) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.735 (#262) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.735 (#260) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#308) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.824 (#16) | AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.871 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.848 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1251 (#32) | RD 339 | GP 5 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 95 - 59 |
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Merchant Marine | W | 103 - 46 |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Adrian | W | 73 - 61 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Schreiner | W | 105 - 54 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | W | 99 - 77 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anquan Hill | - | 1 | 23.9 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 23.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 70.5 | 70.0 |
| Dimitrios Sklavenitis | - | 1 | 31.4 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 18.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 25.0 | 100.0 | - | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Rashaad Williams | - | 1 | 35.3 | 18.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 17.0 | 10 | 3.3 | 275.9 | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.72 | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Dashon Gittens | - | 1 | 23.8 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 | - | - | - | 88.9 | 66.7 | 0.0 | - | 95.3 | 100.0 |
| Justin Bushu | - | 1 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 102.2 | 100.0 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. | - | 1 | 19.2 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | 78 | 4.6 | 27.3 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 2.91 | 74.3 | 66.7 |
| Edir Ortiz | - | 1 | 31.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 29.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 33.3 | 71.4 | - | 56.8 | 50.0 |
| Kedrick Curtis | - | 1 | 28.5 | 14.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 33.3 | 37.5 | - | 40.0 | 39.3 |
| Jacobe Coleman | - | 2 | 21.1 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 11.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 59.1 | 16.7 | 0 | - | 61.4 | 61.4 |
| Po'Boigh King | - | 2 | 18.7 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 38.1 | 26.7 | 80.0 | - | 51.7 | 47.6 |
| Brandon Coury | - | 1 | 16.7 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 82.0 | 83.3 |
| Jacob Walker | - | 2 | 24.6 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 28 | 2.0 | 7.6 | 28.6 | 33.3 | 90.9 | 0.26 | 58.4 | 42.9 |
| Yann Farell | - | 1 | 24.3 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 55.0 | 55.0 |
| Fallou Gueye | - | 1 | 19.7 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| CJ Beaumont | - | 2 | 16.2 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 66.7 | 83.3 | - | 98.7 | 100.0 |
| Jaxson Ford | - | 1 | 15.6 | 10.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 0 | 0 | - | 71.4 | 71.4 |
| Gabe Gillespie | - | 1 | 14.6 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 0 | 57.1 | - | 45.1 | 37.5 |
| Nyle Ralph-Beyer | - | 1 | 21.5 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 46.0 | 40.0 |
| Abdou Yadd | - | 1 | 15.7 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | - | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Isaiah Manning | - | 2 | 19.0 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 9.5 | - | - | - | 43.8 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 54.8 | 53.1 |
| George Kalatzis | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 25.0 | 40.0 | - | 44.1 | 43.8 |
| Jaden Slaughter | - | 1 | 14.6 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 87.5 | 87.5 |
| Veljko Ilic | - | 2 | 12.8 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 10.5 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 65.8 | 66.7 |
| Kashie Natt | - | 2 | 18.9 | 6.5 | 10.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 13.0 | - | - | - | 35.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 41.2 | 35.7 |
| Matt Dann | - | 2 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 8.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 4.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 51.5 | 55.6 |
| Taj Bryant | - | 1 | 16.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | -115 | -7.7 | -318.3 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Justin Begg | - | 2 | 21.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 6.0 | 8.5 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 45.8 | 45.8 |
| Danilo Rajlic | - | 1 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Camden Brewer | - | 1 | 25.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 46.3 | 33.3 |
| Jeremiah Jacobs | - | 1 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | -22 | -2.4 | -190.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.36 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Noah Wright | - | 1 | 0.8 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Mekhi Conner | - | 1 | 23.6 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | - | 27.6 | 30.0 |
| Brian Belade | - | 1 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Ben Myers | - | 1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Aidan Angus | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maxwell Grice | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Gloria Mabiala | - | 1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Krish Patel | - | 1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 0.9 | 18.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dean Simos | - | 1 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cheikh Ndiaye | - | 1 | 12.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lucius Gibson-Savadel | - | 1 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Malik Sheppard | - | 1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Woodring | - | 1 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Aidan Wright | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36 | 2.0 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG