Siena Heights
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1019 (#308) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1029 (#334) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1019 (#299) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +18.8 (#133) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.951 (#221) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.735 (#262) | AdjNet +8.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.735 (#260) | AdjNet +8.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.576 (#308) | AdjO 70.0 | AdjD 66.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.824 (#16) | AdjO 85.6 | AdjD 68.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.871 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.849 (#43) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1247 (#34) | RD 345 | GP 4 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | LeTourneau | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-04 | vs | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-12 | vs | Adrian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Schreiner | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Bushu | - | 1 | 20.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | - | - | - | 85.7 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 102.2 | 100.0 |
| George Kalatzis | - | 1 | 21.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 25.0 | 40.0 | - | 44.1 | 43.8 |
| Danilo Rajlic | - | 1 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | - | 37.0 | 20.0 |
| Aidan Wright | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 36 | 2.0 | 41.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG