🐻⬇️🏀

Shippensburg

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Shippensburg
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 909 (#375) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1023 (#225) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1006 (#242) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +0.9 (#222) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.1 (#311) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.324 (#428) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.0 More → 0.737 (#228) NetEff +10.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.333 (#490) AdjNet -6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.333 (#491) AdjNet -6.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 80.2 More → 0.393 (#495) AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 80.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 72.8 More → 0.504 (#288) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 72.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.543 (#285) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.537 (#286) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 23 More → 1044 (#185) RD 95 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-15 @ Frostburg St. L 90 - 112
2025-11-16 @ Bluefield St. W 79 - 60
2025-11-19 vs Chestnut Hill W 67 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Wilmington (DE) W 95 - 94
2025-11-24 vs Cheyney W 98 - 76
2025-12-01 @ Seton Hill L 83 - 88
2025-12-03 @ Bowie St. W 88 - 79
2025-12-16 @ California (PA) L 76 - 95
2025-12-20 vs Slippery Rock L 70 - 76
2025-12-21 vs Edinboro L 78 - 86
2026-01-02 @ Gannon L 58 - 80
2026-01-03 @ Clarion W 90 - 86
2026-01-07 @ Bloomsburg L 67 - 71
2026-01-10 @ West Chester L 54 - 76
2026-01-13 vs Millersville L 70 - 72
2026-01-15 vs Kutztown W 65 - 60
2026-01-17 vs East Stroudsburg W 82 - 80
2026-01-24 @ Mansfield W 97 - 77
2026-01-29 vs Lock Haven W 85 - 69
2026-01-31 vs Bloomsburg W 62 - 45
2026-02-02 @ Shepherd L 57 - 84
2026-02-04 @ Millersville L 60 - 78
2026-02-07 vs West Chester W 85 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Markus Frank - 23 32.2 19.4 5.0 1.1 1.4 0.3 2.1 14.5 10.6 5 0.2 1.0 52.4 32.3 68.1 -1.24 58.2 55.4
Jaydon Smith - 23 32.7 15.0 3.9 2.4 1.1 0.8 1.6 10.7 10.9 13 0.6 2.4 48.2 41.6 80.7 -0.22 60.5 55.7
Michael Dickson - 23 28.9 12.6 4.5 3.9 1.6 0.3 2.8 9.4 10.7 -13 -0.6 -2.4 46.8 39.2 74.4 -2.09 56.5 51.4
David Dorsey - 1 13.1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 3.0 -3 -3.0 -9.4 42.9 0.0 100.0 -0.47 50.8 42.9
Timmy Conner - 23 21.1 7.7 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.0 7.5 1.9 -28 -1.3 -8.8 37.8 36.5 80.0 0.11 49.9 48.8
Denzel Figueroa - 18 20.6 5.6 5.1 1.3 0.3 1.3 0.9 5.2 7.5 -30 -1.7 -6.9 44.7 14.3 57.1 1.48 47.5 45.2
Ben Rill - 19 12.9 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.7 -4 -0.2 -3.3 51.3 14.3 64.3 0.92 54.9 52.0
Trey Martin - 23 23.2 4.6 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 4.5 3.7 -29 -1.3 -7.3 37.9 26.9 73.7 2.52 47.6 44.7
Jackson Boone - 23 17.0 3.5 4.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.7 2.3 6.8 13 0.6 6.2 52.8 45.5 70.4 -0.71 61.7 57.5
Sebastian Edwards - 23 10.5 3.5 1.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.5 3.0 3.0 24 1.1 19.2 44.1 28.6 76.5 3.29 53.7 50.0
Drew Sleva - 5 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 0.6 - - - 14.3 16.7 100.0 - 40.0 21.4
Gabriel Romero-Sanz - 8 5.8 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 5 0.6 10.6 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.56 46.0 50.0
Parker Smith - 3 2.6 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 - - - 0 0 50.0 - 56.8 0
Emonte Hill, Jr - 17 6.4 0.4 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 - - - 28.6 0.0 50.0 - 34.2 28.6
Braelin Hardy - 4 1.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Kenyon Johnson - 3 1.8 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.7 19 0.9 6.9 0.0 0 0 2.45 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG