Shepherd (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2023 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1109 (#69) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#181) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.653 (#102) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#137) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#130) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1168 (#64) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2023 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-11 | @ | West Liberty | L | 68 - 91 |
| 2022-11-12 | vs | Wheeling | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2022-11-16 | vs | Frostburg St. | L | 57 - 58 |
| 2022-11-22 | vs | Lincoln (PA) | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2022-11-27 | @ | Bowie St. | W | 66 - 55 |
| 2022-12-02 | vs | Slippery Rock | L | 74 - 79 |
| 2022-12-03 | vs | Edinboro | W | 80 - 61 |
| 2022-12-12 | @ | Virginia Union | L | 69 - 73 |
| 2022-12-18 | @ | Gannon | W | 51 - 45 |
| 2022-12-19 | @ | Clarion | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2022-12-30 | vs | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2023-01-04 | vs | Lock Haven | L | 74 - 77 |
| 2023-01-07 | vs | Millersville | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2023-01-11 | @ | Mercyhurst | L | 45 - 70 |
| 2023-01-14 | @ | Bloomsburg | W | 81 - 72 |
| 2023-01-18 | vs | East Stroudsburg | W | 96 - 88 |
| 2023-01-21 | @ | Mansfield | W | 69 - 64 |
| 2023-01-23 | @ | West Chester | L | 69 - 70 |
| 2023-01-25 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 66 - 68 |
| 2023-01-28 | vs | Kutztown | W | 82 - 73 |
| 2023-02-01 | @ | Millersville | L | 57 - 59 |
| 2023-02-04 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 58 - 64 |
| 2023-02-08 | vs | Mansfield | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2023-02-11 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 65 - 37 |
| 2023-02-15 | vs | West Chester | L | 63 - 64 |
| 2023-02-18 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 58 - 74 |
| 2023-02-22 | vs | Shippensburg | W | 60 - 55 |
| 2023-02-25 | @ | Kutztown | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2023-02-27 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 75 - 81 |
2023 Roster
No roster data available for this season.