Shepherd (CA)
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2022 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1109 (#69) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +8.6 (#181) | HCA +3.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.653 (#102) | AdjO 75.5 | AdjD 68.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#137) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.702 (#130) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1168 (#64) | RD 96 | GP 22 |
2022 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-12 | vs | Fayetteville St. | L | 56 - 57 |
| 2021-11-13 | vs | Bowie St. | W | 88 - 81 |
| 2021-11-17 | @ | Frostburg St. | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2021-11-20 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | W | 78 - 74 |
| 2021-11-28 | vs | West Va. Wesleyan | W | 61 - 39 |
| 2021-12-03 | vs | Gannon | L | 60 - 68 |
| 2021-12-04 | vs | Clarion | W | 81 - 68 |
| 2021-12-11 | vs | Virginia Union | L | 54 - 56 |
| 2021-12-14 | @ | Pitt.-Johnstown | L | 64 - 65 |
| 2021-12-18 | @ | Indiana (PA) | L | 46 - 65 |
| 2021-12-19 | @ | Seton Hill | L | 59 - 69 |
| 2022-01-05 | @ | Millersville | L | 71 - 75 |
| 2022-01-19 | @ | Shippensburg | L | 60 - 66 |
| 2022-01-22 | @ | Kutztown | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2022-01-24 | vs | Mansfield | W | 80 - 57 |
| 2022-01-26 | vs | East Stroudsburg | L | 61 - 77 |
| 2022-01-29 | vs | Lock Haven | W | 79 - 60 |
| 2022-01-31 | vs | West Chester | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2022-02-02 | @ | West Chester | L | 57 - 70 |
| 2022-02-05 | @ | Bloomsburg | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-07 | vs | California (PA) | - | Preview |
| 2022-02-12 | vs | Kutztown | W | 68 - 60 |
| 2022-02-14 | @ | Lock Haven | L | 50 - 68 |
| 2022-02-16 | vs | Millersville | W | 89 - 71 |
| 2022-02-19 | @ | East Stroudsburg | L | 57 - 76 |
| 2022-02-21 | vs | Bloomsburg | W | 88 - 76 |
| 2022-02-23 | vs | Shippensburg | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2022-02-26 | @ | Mansfield | L | 68 - 75 |
| 2022-02-28 | @ | West Chester | L | 79 - 88 |
2022 Roster
No roster data available for this season.