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Shenandoah

Also known as: Shenandoah Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 998 (#234) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -21.8 (#817) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -15.8 (#535) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.466 (#396) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 70.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.199 (#544) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.254 (#533) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 928 (#358) RD 350 | GP 1

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ High Point Panthers L 59 - 108

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Z. Riddle Z. Riddle - 1 21.0 11.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 19.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Q. Jones Q. Jones - 1 6.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Jerome Williams Jerome Williams - 1 20.0 7.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 12.0 -84 -3.4 -4.5 0 0 0 2.24 0 0
D. McNeill D. McNeill - 1 25.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 -120 -4.1 -6.9 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Matthew Simmons Matthew Simmons G 1 22.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Cowan A. Cowan - 1 6.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Adams N. Adams - 1 16.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. McClanahan N. McClanahan - 1 12.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Kelly T. Kelly - 1 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -156 -5.0 -9.4 0 0 0 -0.81 0 0
J. Harrison J. Harrison - 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.54 0 0
G. Bizyak G. Bizyak - 1 13.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Bihai B. Bihai - 1 17.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Roberts D. Roberts - 1 13.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -1.0 -107 -6.3 -12.3 0 0 0 0.03 0 0
M. Taylor M. Taylor - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG