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Shenandoah

Also known as: Shenandoah Hornets
Program History

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 995 (#342) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -19.9 (#918) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -36.5 (#584) HCA +3.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.383 (#535) AdjO 63.3 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.101 (#573) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.140 (#573) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 1 More → 893 (#423) RD 350 | GP 1

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-01-02 @ VMI Keydets L 54 - 110

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Carithers J. Carithers - 1 34.0 22.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 26.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.59 0 0
D. Seraile D. Seraile - 1 23.0 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Rodney S. Rodney - 1 28.0 10.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 13.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Almulla S. Almulla - 1 31.0 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
X. Alston X. Alston - 1 15.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG