Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 855 (#474) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 932 (#381) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 897 (#618) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -11.1 (#310) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -8.2 (#486) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.264 (#455) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.117 (#392) | NetEff -12.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.211 (#517) | AdjNet -11.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.208 (#520) | AdjNet -11.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.353 (#507) | AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.339 (#584) | AdjO 54.3 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.242 (#572) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.257 (#564) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 910 (#356) | RD 107 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | @ | N.C. A&T | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Shepherd | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-17 | vs | East Stroudsburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Morris | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Lincoln (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | Norfolk St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Barton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Elizabeth City St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Bluefield St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Virginia St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Virginia Union | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-12 | vs | Bowie St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Winston-Salem | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | vs | Livingstone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Claflin | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruni Martinez | - | 1 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 72 | 4.8 | 37.1 | 54.5 | 0 | 100.0 | 3.85 | 55.7 | 54.5 |
| D'Ayzha Atkinson | - | 15 | 33.5 | 15.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 15.4 | 5.9 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 36.8 | 31.7 | 79.2 | -2.33 | 45.0 | 40.9 |
| Maya Robinson | - | 1 | 32.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 5.0 | 29 | 2.4 | 21.9 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.32 | 63.0 | 55.6 |
| De'aisjah Somerville | - | 1 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | -12 | -0.9 | -24.0 | 36.4 | 25.0 | 75.0 | -1.56 | 47.0 | 40.9 |
| Leasia Matthews | - | 15 | 23.5 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 3.7 | 11.0 | 3.3 | -39 | -2.8 | -59.1 | 33.9 | 32.1 | 77.3 | -1.36 | 46.4 | 41.5 |
| Serenity Johnson | - | 1 | 25.0 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | -20 | -1.5 | -37.2 | 44.4 | 60.0 | 0 | -0.89 | 61.1 | 61.1 |
| Ashara Spruill | - | 15 | 26.5 | 7.4 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 8.2 | -3 | -0.2 | -3.9 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 58.0 | 2.04 | 51.4 | 47.7 |
| Mikyah Finley | - | 14 | 23.3 | 6.7 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.9 | 8.6 | 0.1 | -17 | -1.2 | -24.3 | 25.8 | 26.4 | 92.9 | -1.62 | 37.3 | 33.8 |
| Arianna Lopez | - | 15 | 23.1 | 5.3 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 6.2 | 0.2 | -23 | -1.8 | -43.4 | 23.7 | 22.9 | 72.7 | -0.66 | 36.7 | 29.6 |
| Hailey Blackwell | - | 1 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | 39 | 2.6 | 19.2 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.32 | 36.3 | 25.0 |
| Skylar Adams | - | 13 | 15.7 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 18 | 1.5 | 226.2 | 20.8 | 25.9 | 86.7 | -0.34 | 36.6 | 28.1 |
| Karimah Nix | - | 1 | 21.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 30 | 2.0 | 17.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.06 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Jazzmen Robinson | - | 14 | 11.3 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.4 | -25 | -1.7 | -93.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 64.3 | -2.18 | 47.0 | 41.7 |
| Ashley Gonzalez | - | 1 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 | 36 | 3.0 | 17.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -3.54 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
| Tanila Marshall | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.38 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Sokhna Toure | - | 7 | 14.9 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 3.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -3.9 | 21.1 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 2.29 | 25.4 | 21.1 |
| Mahogany Collins | - | 15 | 26.1 | 1.1 | 7.9 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 12.1 | -40 | -2.7 | -53.8 | 15.4 | 20.0 | 25.0 | -2.15 | 18.1 | 16.7 |
| Constance Ogbeide | - | 12 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | -18 | -1.6 | -219.3 | 21.1 | 0 | 28.6 | -2.29 | 23.8 | 21.1 |
| Jaelyn Richardson | - | 9 | 4.9 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | -29 | -2.6 | -246.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.17 | 45.1 | 33.3 |
| Jocelynn Thompson | - | 4 | 6.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | -3 | -0.2 | -2.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.95 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Indiya Spooner | - | 10 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.5 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Ramsey Cureton | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 12 | 0.7 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG