🐻⬇️🏀

Shaw

Also known as: Shaw
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 996 (#234) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1058 (#158) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1019 (#200) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +0.7 (#262) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.3 (#288) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.548 (#315) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +67.7 More → 1.000 (#15) NetEff +67.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.431 (#446) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.477 (#427) AdjNet -0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.479 (#434) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.549 (#216) AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.563 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.561 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1025 (#199) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Clinton - Incomplete score
2025-11-17 vs Mount Olive - Incomplete score
2025-11-19 @ Barton - Incomplete score
2025-11-23 @ Charlotte - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 vs Paine - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Ferrum - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 @ UNC Pembroke - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 vs Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-09 @ Elizabeth City St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 @ Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-16 @ Virginia St. - Incomplete score
2025-12-18 vs Virginia-Lynchburg - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-06 vs Virginia Union - Incomplete score
2026-01-08 vs Lincoln (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-12 vs Bowie St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Winston-Salem - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 vs Livingstone - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Claflin - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Claflin - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dreveon Scott - 20 31.8 16.2 3.5 1.7 2.4 0.6 1.9 11.6 11.0 89 4.5 24.5 52.4 36.5 65.3 1.85 61.7 60.0
Avery Huggins - 20 28.3 15.0 6.2 2.7 1.4 2.1 2.5 11.6 13.4 29 1.4 9.4 48.1 32.9 79.1 -0.67 57.6 53.5
Isaiah Buckley - 18 35.7 14.2 2.2 4.7 1.9 0.1 1.9 9.6 11.6 74 4.1 20.1 49.4 22.2 64.2 2.25 56.4 51.2
Alijah England - 19 21.3 10.5 4.3 1.1 1.3 0.2 1.9 7.4 8.0 56 2.9 32.7 55.0 20.0 64.6 0.87 59.0 56.1
Darius Abraham - 20 21.4 6.8 2.4 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.0 6.6 3.8 35 1.8 19.2 34.1 31.7 70.6 0.11 48.4 46.6
Isaac Tatum - 8 12.4 5.1 1.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 4.8 3.0 - - - 34.2 35.7 76.9 0.58 46.9 40.8
Shamon Jackson - 18 10.5 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 3.3 4.0 46 2.6 50.3 55.9 50.0 62.5 1.47 63.3 61.9
Justin Harris - 20 17.6 4.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.4 3.6 3.0 48 2.4 24.3 37.0 36.7 60.0 0.55 52.5 52.1
Avion Pinner - 20 13.5 4.0 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.4 5.3 -4 -0.2 -2.6 55.3 100.0 61.4 -1.76 60.3 56.4
Tamari Rowland - 13 10.6 3.7 3.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.6 4.8 12 0.9 61.9 55.9 33.3 46.7 -1.06 59.1 60.3
Zailan Blue - 4 4.8 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.5 - - - 44.4 20.0 75.0 - 55.8 50.0
Devin Sims - 10 4.5 2.7 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 3.4 37 3.7 413.0 64.7 0.0 71.4 3.15 67.2 64.7
Kyan Bowman - 15 9.4 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.3 2.1 2.1 -22 -1.5 -285.4 31.2 24.0 81.8 -3.26 47.5 40.6
Zy'Lee Bazemore - 7 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 -12 -1.2 -97.3 40.0 50.0 100.0 -1.91 68.0 60.0
Daniel Mbaeteka - 8 3.6 1.0 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 7 1.0 19.6 37.5 0 100.0 0.07 45.0 37.5
Kobe George - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nazir Griffin - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74 3.2 33.5 0 0 0 2.91 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG