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Shaw

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Shaw
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1025 (#154) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1084 (#127) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1019 (#200) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +1.0 (#220) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.3 (#288) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.548 (#315) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +67.7 More → 1.000 (#15) NetEff +67.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.431 (#446) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.477 (#427) AdjNet -0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.9 More → 0.479 (#434) AdjO 76.9 | AdjD 77.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.1 More → 0.549 (#216) AdjO 79.3 | AdjD 77.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.563 (#273) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.561 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 21 More → 1030 (#192) RD 106 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Clinton W 82 - 66
2025-11-17 vs Mount Olive W 93 - 89
2025-11-19 @ Barton W 83 - 82
2025-11-23 @ Charlotte L 79 - 83
2025-11-25 vs Paine W 96 - 71
2025-11-29 @ Ferrum W 77 - 71
2025-11-30 @ UNC Pembroke W 84 - 80
2025-12-03 vs Virginia St. W 79 - 78
2025-12-09 @ Elizabeth City St. L 65 - 66
2025-12-13 @ Bluefield St. L 78 - 93
2025-12-16 @ Virginia St. W 87 - 83
2025-12-18 vs Virginia-Lynchburg W 120 - 72
2026-01-03 @ Bowie St. W 80 - 75
2026-01-06 vs Virginia Union L 61 - 75
2026-01-08 vs Lincoln (PA) W 80 - 59
2026-01-12 vs Bowie St. L 69 - 70
2026-01-17 vs Winston-Salem W 85 - 69
2026-01-21 @ Johnson C. Smith L 77 - 90
2026-01-29 vs Livingstone W 87 - 75
2026-02-04 vs Claflin L 79 - 80
2026-02-07 @ Claflin W 81 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Dreveon Scott - 21 31.8 15.8 3.4 1.7 2.4 0.6 1.9 11.2 10.8 89 4.5 24.5 52.1 37.4 64.5 1.64 61.6 60.0
Avery Huggins - 21 28.6 15.4 6.2 2.7 1.3 2.1 2.3 11.9 13.4 29 1.4 9.4 48.4 32.9 79.1 0.73 57.8 54.0
Isaiah Buckley - 19 36.0 14.0 2.4 4.7 2.0 0.1 1.9 9.6 11.5 74 4.1 20.1 49.2 24.1 63.2 0.56 55.9 51.1
Alijah England - 20 21.5 10.8 4.3 1.1 1.4 0.2 1.9 7.5 8.4 56 2.9 32.7 55.6 17.6 62.0 2.24 59.0 56.6
Darius Abraham - 21 22.0 7.1 2.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.0 6.8 4.0 35 1.8 19.2 35.0 33.0 70.6 1.36 49.5 47.9
Isaac Tatum - 8 12.4 5.1 1.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 4.8 3.0 - - - 34.2 35.7 76.9 - 46.9 40.8
Shamon Jackson - 18 10.5 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.0 3.3 4.0 46 2.6 50.3 55.9 50.0 62.5 -0.33 63.3 61.9
Avion Pinner - 21 13.1 3.9 2.7 1.0 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.4 5.0 -4 -0.2 -2.6 54.0 100.0 61.4 -0.0 59.1 55.0
Justin Harris - 21 17.1 3.8 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.0 48 2.4 24.3 37.0 36.7 60.0 -1.66 52.5 52.1
Tamari Rowland - 14 10.5 3.4 3.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.7 2.5 4.3 12 0.9 61.9 54.3 33.3 46.7 -0.3 57.7 58.6
Zailan Blue - 4 4.8 3.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 2.2 1.5 - - - 44.4 20.0 75.0 - 55.8 50.0
Devin Sims - 10 4.5 2.7 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.7 3.4 37 3.7 413.0 64.7 0.0 71.4 0.04 67.2 64.7
Kyan Bowman - 16 9.2 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 2.1 2.1 -22 -1.5 -285.4 33.3 26.9 81.8 -0.89 50.2 43.9
Zy'Lee Bazemore - 7 2.8 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 -12 -1.2 -97.3 40.0 50.0 100.0 1.43 68.0 60.0
Daniel Mbaeteka - 9 3.8 1.1 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.1 7 1.0 19.6 44.4 0 100.0 -0.1 50.6 44.4
Kobe George - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nazir Griffin - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74 3.2 33.5 0 0 0 2.67 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG