Scranton
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1248 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1306 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1154 (#46) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +6.2 (#49) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.1 (#353) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.466 (#493) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.282 (#464) | AdjNet -8.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.272 (#470) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.375 (#456) | AdjO 65.2 | AdjD 70.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.586 (#232) | AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 69.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#253) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.654 (#255) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1289 (#19) | RD 104 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Lehman | W | 57 - 55 |
| 2025-11-08 | vs | DeSales | W | 63 - 50 |
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Centenary (NJ) | W | 86 - 61 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Drew | L | 76 - 79 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Goucher | W | 83 - 60 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Moravian | W | 91 - 75 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Juniata | W | 79 - 61 |
| 2025-12-14 | vs | Stevens | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2025-12-19 | @ | Ursinus | W | 89 - 77 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Nazareth | W | 73 - 63 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | King's (PA) | W | 88 - 68 |
| 2026-01-07 | @ | Elizabethtown | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Susquehanna | W | 75 - 65 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Lycoming | W | 77 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Catholic | W | 71 - 68 |
| 2026-01-21 | @ | Wilkes | L | 45 - 75 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Goucher | W | 74 - 71 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Drew | L | 65 - 79 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Juniata | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Moravian | W | 84 - 80 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Elizabethtown | L | 72 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Tornabene | - | 17 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 6.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 3.6 | 12.4 | 10.3 | -4 | -0.2 | -1.2 | 50.5 | 40.6 | 74.3 | 2.09 | 57.7 | 53.6 |
| Brendan Carr | - | 21 | 31.2 | 14.1 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 10.6 | 9.4 | 24 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 44.4 | 41.4 | 88.5 | 0.56 | 60.4 | 56.3 |
| Jon Spatola | - | 21 | 34.2 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 8.0 | 14.2 | 23 | 1.2 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 43.4 | 85.0 | -0.34 | 62.2 | 56.8 |
| Nick Ruisi | - | 17 | 20.8 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 9.2 | 9 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 49.2 | 25.0 | 94.1 | 0.91 | 58.0 | 52.0 |
| Will Marion | - | 21 | 25.5 | 7.3 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 5.7 | 6.5 | 51 | 2.7 | 10.7 | 43.3 | 45.7 | 70.0 | -1.29 | 55.6 | 52.1 |
| Ben Robinson | - | 21 | 28.5 | 7.3 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -2.3 | 54.7 | 55.6 | 56.5 | 1.9 | 66.3 | 66.5 |
| Josias Carbon | - | 19 | 14.9 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 4.8 | 4.1 | -13 | -0.7 | -4.9 | 50.0 | 36.4 | 65.0 | -0.1 | 58.0 | 56.5 |
| PJ Kellachan | - | 7 | 10.0 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 5.0 | 6 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 36.4 | 1.01 | 60.5 | 66.7 |
| Luca Baratta | - | 21 | 14.4 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 2.3 | -38 | -2.0 | -17.2 | 40.7 | 35.7 | 87.5 | -3.5 | 52.0 | 49.2 |
| Hamilton Roth | - | 13 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 2.3 | -15 | -1.2 | -65.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 81.8 | 0.11 | 59.1 | 50.0 |
| Kylon Brown | - | 3 | 8.6 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.49 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Tommy Nahill | - | 5 | 5.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 | 4.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -0.5 | 36.5 | 14.3 |
| Dante Regan | - | 4 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -11 | -2.8 | -84.1 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Teddy Spratt | - | 5 | 4.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 | -2 | -0.4 | -29.4 | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.28 | 22.5 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG