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Schreiner

Season:
Also known as: Schreiner
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 866 (#444) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 782 (#543) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1015 (#327) HCA +62 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 815 (#675) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.5 (#281) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -10.3 (#500) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -13.0 (#530) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.073 (#648) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +66.5 More → 1.000 (#25) NetEff +66.5
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -17.9 More → 0.072 (#501) NetEff -17.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -14.1 More → 0.164 (#506) AdjNet -14.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.5 More → 0.152 (#509) AdjNet -14.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.298 (#506) AdjO 60.0 | AdjD 69.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.457 (#461) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 62.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.283 (#615) AdjO 53.2 | AdjD 63.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.378 (#472) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.169 (#618) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.382 (#477) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.178 (#626) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 21 More → 710 (#532) RD 113 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.