Schreiner
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 946 (#473) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 992 (#387) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 944 (#611) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.4 (#187) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -13.5 (#590) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.367 (#555) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.346 (#429) | AdjNet -5.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.335 (#431) | AdjNet -5.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.406 (#429) | AdjO 76.8 | AdjD 81.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.317 (#654) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 84.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.263 (#617) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.272 (#617) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 939 (#433) | RD 103 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | @ | Howard Payne | L | 96 - 106 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Hardin-Simmons | L | 80 - 88 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Redlands | L | 92 - 106 |
| 2025-11-16 | @ | La Verne | W | 89 - 86 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Sam Houston | L | 54 - 105 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | McMurry | W | 90 - 85 |
| 2025-12-01 | @ | McMurry | W | 93 - 84 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Southwestern (TX) | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Marietta | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Mary Washington | L | 62 - 85 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Hardin-Simmons | L | 56 - 96 |
| 2026-01-04 | vs | Howard Payne | W | 120 - 108 |
| 2026-01-09 | vs | LeTourneau | W | 93 - 88 |
| 2026-01-11 | vs | Centenary (LA) | W | 68 - 65 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Texas Lutheran | L | 90 - 102 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | Concordia (TX) | L | 95 - 98 |
| 2026-01-23 | @ | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 59 - 80 |
| 2026-01-25 | @ | Colorado Col. | L | 65 - 96 |
| 2026-01-30 | vs | Ozarks (AR) | W | 98 - 82 |
| 2026-02-01 | vs | Hendrix | W | 99 - 69 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | St. Thomas (TX) | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | Colorado Col. | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Nofziger | - | 1 | 30.6 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 53.8 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0.51 | 61.9 | 57.7 |
| Dylan Snow | - | 21 | 30.1 | 16.3 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 14.4 | 7.1 | -102 | -4.6 | -20.4 | 40.4 | 32.5 | 82.4 | -2.28 | 51.3 | 46.7 |
| Justin Gooden | - | 21 | 26.3 | 14.2 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 11.1 | 7.6 | 47 | 2.5 | 10.8 | 45.9 | 29.9 | 79.7 | 6.77 | 56.3 | 51.5 |
| Camden Hyman | - | 21 | 19.7 | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 11 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 40.9 | 40.4 | 77.3 | -0.23 | 58.8 | 53.5 |
| Gavin Carter | - | 1 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 7 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 1.77 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Mason McGowan | - | 21 | 27.6 | 9.4 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 29 | 1.5 | 6.3 | 32.5 | 31.1 | 84.2 | 1.02 | 47.3 | 45.2 |
| Mario Johnson | - | 17 | 25.0 | 7.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 13.1 | -10 | -0.7 | -4.4 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 42.3 | 0.68 | 53.7 | 54.4 |
| Carson Diamond | - | 21 | 20.8 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 9.0 | 53 | 2.8 | 14.6 | 50.8 | 27.8 | 67.6 | 0.72 | 55.6 | 52.9 |
| Christian Drummond | - | 1 | 20.4 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | - | 40.0 | 35.7 |
| Hudson Czarnecki | - | 19 | 14.9 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 54 | 3.2 | 33.3 | 46.5 | 34.5 | 73.5 | 0.59 | 55.6 | 51.5 |
| Ty Hendler | - | 1 | 15.1 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 8 | 0.6 | 3.4 | 14.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.12 | 31.7 | 21.4 |
| Orion Samikoglu | - | 1 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -14 | -0.7 | -19.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.73 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Nick Nuedorfer | - | 21 | 12.8 | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 5.1 | 40 | 2.1 | 15.8 | 44.6 | 26.1 | 63.8 | 2.52 | 53.9 | 48.6 |
| Braylon Toussaint | - | 2 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 104.2 | 100.0 |
| Terrion Benson | - | 1 | 18.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 10 | 0.5 | 12.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.17 | 37.6 | 50.0 |
| Russell MacFarlane | - | 1 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -79 | -4.0 | -156.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.76 | 72.5 | 0.0 |
| Nick Brashear | - | 1 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 8 | 0.5 | 55.2 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.14 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Noah Drenth | - | 20 | 10.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 2.8 | -6 | -0.3 | -3.0 | 41.4 | 0 | 38.9 | 2.23 | 41.7 | 41.4 |
| Cayden Munnilal | - | 18 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 | -2 | -0.1 | -1.2 | 23.5 | 18.8 | 75.0 | -1.84 | 37.6 | 29.4 |
| TJ Satcher | - | 1 | 14.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 27 | 1.5 | 43.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Maddox Mineishi | - | 2 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | -7 | -3.5 | -93.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.18 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Michael Robertson | - | 3 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -150 | -7.5 | -29.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jaedon Ross | - | 10 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | -17 | -1.9 | -55.1 | 28.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.84 | 33.1 | 28.6 |
| Felipe Valls | - | 7 | 6.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 | -37 | -6.2 | -71.3 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 50.0 | -2.64 | 26.9 | 25.0 |
| Ethan To | - | 10 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -14 | -1.6 | -27.6 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -1.12 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| Chino Ugorji | - | 8 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 | 13.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Nate Reiser | - | 7 | 4.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | -33 | -6.6 | -71.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -2.64 | 21.8 | 16.7 |
| Austin Bonilla | - | 1 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Blake Washington | - | 5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | -0.2 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.09 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Angel Alonso | - | 5 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -1.0 | -12 | -3.0 | -67.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.82 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kamran Dubois | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 0.8 | 32.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Kyle Kihlberg | - | 1 | 16.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | -4.0 | -28 | -1.4 | -15.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG