🐻⬇️🏀

Savannah St.

Also known as: Savannah St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 815 (#504) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 898 (#435) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 801 (#675) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -13.2 (#262) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -11.6 (#532) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.640 (#307) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -3.4 More → 0.379 (#309) NetEff -3.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.0 More → 0.334 (#458) AdjNet -6.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.333 (#459) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.416 (#457) AdjO 63.0 | AdjD 66.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.265 (#633) AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 68.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.199 (#597) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.197 (#608) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 103 | GP 20 More → 724 (#500) RD 103 | GP 20

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-17 vs Trinity Baptist W 109 - 73
2025-11-20 @ LeMoyne-Owen W 63 - 51
2025-11-22 @ Lane L 58 - 85
2025-11-29 @ Fort Valley St. W 72 - 66
2025-12-04 vs Central St. (OH) W 63 - 53
2025-12-06 vs Kentucky St. W 70 - 68
2025-12-11 @ Albany St. (GA) L 62 - 68
2025-12-13 @ Spring Hill W 64 - 60
2025-12-17 vs Tuskegee L 49 - 55
2025-12-19 vs Miles L 51 - 63
2026-01-10 vs Clark Atlanta L 60 - 92
2026-01-15 @ Benedict L 71 - 76
2026-01-17 @ Edward Waters L 48 - 69
2026-01-19 vs Allen L 66 - 68
2026-01-22 vs LeMoyne-Owen W 65 - 59
2026-01-29 @ Central St. (OH) L 52 - 63
2026-01-31 @ Kentucky St. L 45 - 59
2026-02-05 vs Albany St. (GA) L 59 - 80
2026-02-07 vs Spring Hill L 55 - 62

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jayden Boykin - 13 31.0 13.8 5.2 2.1 2.4 0.8 2.8 10.9 10.5 -49 -3.8 -27.3 45.1 25.0 61.8 -0.06 52.1 48.2
Jazmin Thornton - 14 30.5 12.9 5.0 1.3 1.6 1.0 1.7 11.1 9.0 - - - 43.2 22.2 63.6 - 48.9 44.5
Jaliyah Harper - 19 33.9 11.4 5.8 2.3 2.2 0.7 3.7 11.6 7.1 -69 -3.6 -19.3 39.4 26.3 70.4 -1.97 44.3 40.5
Sanai Chisolm - 19 27.7 8.1 3.3 2.1 1.5 0.1 3.8 7.3 3.8 -69 -3.6 -23.4 35.3 20.0 73.4 -1.49 45.8 38.1
Ansley Hicks - 19 27.6 7.3 3.5 1.2 1.3 0.1 3.5 7.7 2.2 -85 -4.5 -28.5 35.6 6.2 61.8 -3.39 40.8 36.0
Haylee Malcum - 19 27.4 6.3 6.3 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.9 6.4 8.1 -61 -3.0 -21.4 41.8 0.0 70.8 -1.29 44.9 41.8
Raven Birt - 17 20.1 5.2 1.5 1.1 1.3 0.0 1.8 5.1 2.3 -21 -1.2 -8.4 32.6 25.0 80.0 0.04 44.9 37.8
Saniyah Rice - 17 9.7 3.0 1.1 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.0 -8 -0.4 -4.4 34.7 30.4 90.9 -1.58 47.4 41.8
Makaila Johnson - 14 12.5 2.9 3.0 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 3.5 2.4 -27 -1.8 -47.2 30.6 10.5 69.2 -0.33 37.5 32.7
Anita Burnett - 5 7.7 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.8 0.0 1.0 1.4 2.0 - - - 42.9 0 60.0 - 48.9 42.9
Kira Williams - 5 6.6 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.2 1.0 121 5.3 24.0 0.0 0 83.3 3.3 68.7 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG