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San Francisco State

Season: 2026 2024 2022 2015 2012 2011 2010 2006 2005
Also known as: San Francisco State Gators
Program History

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 995 (#366) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → -10.4 (#646) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → -14.5 (#525) HCA +2.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 70.8 More → 0.454 (#451) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 70.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.240 (#511) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.288 (#505) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 350 | GP 2 More → 870 (#537) RD 350 | GP 2

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 @ California Baptist Lancers L 65 - 87
2021-11-10 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 65 - 119

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Sow A. Sow F 1 21.0 25.0 7.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 32.0 157 5.6 7.8 0 0 0 1.02 0 0
J. Chandler J. Chandler - 2 21.5 10.5 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 161 5.6 7.5 0 0 0 0.83 0 0
J. Flanagan J. Flanagan - 2 16.5 9.5 4.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 14.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.41 0 0
T. August T. August - 2 14.5 8.0 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.51 0 0
T. Okwuokei T. Okwuokei - 2 15.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.0 8.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
J. Huynh J. Huynh - 2 20.5 6.5 1.0 3.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.32 0 0
E. Okeke E. Okeke - 2 18.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.43 0 0
A. Gilat A. Gilat - 2 15.5 5.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.14 0 0
S. Touré S. Touré G 1 18.0 4.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 9.0 61 2.2 7.8 0 0 0 0.64 0 0
R. Idehen R. Idehen F 1 15.0 3.0 11.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 93 3.4 9.0 0 0 0 0.54 0 0
M. Robinson Jr. M. Robinson Jr. - 2 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.5 1.5 0.0 5.0 -219 -6.8 -8.6 0 0 0 0.92 0 0
D. Jackson D. Jackson - 2 10.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 -73 -3.3 -6.1 0 0 0 0.32 0 0
J. Bakke J. Bakke - 2 9.5 2.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
S. Orr S. Orr - 2 20.0 2.0 4.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.5 0 0
S. Kramer S. Kramer - 2 16.5 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
B. Ryan B. Ryan - 2 11.5 0.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG