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San Fran. St.

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: San Fran. St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 744 (#518) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 797 (#501) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 858 (#642) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -0.8 (#236) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -6.8 (#467) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.100 (#537) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -13.6 More → 0.137 (#387) NetEff -13.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.2 More → 0.216 (#511) AdjNet -11.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.0 More → 0.214 (#518) AdjNet -11.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.341 (#516) AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6 More → 0.390 (#533) AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.344 (#491) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.334 (#506) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 25 More → 789 (#469) RD 95 | GP 25

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 vs Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2025-11-09 @ Saint Mary's (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Jessup - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Menlo - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2025-11-28 @ Central Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 @ Western Wash. - Incomplete score
2025-11-30 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 vs Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 @ Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2025-12-11 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 @ Cal State LA - Incomplete score
2025-12-21 @ Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-01-02 vs Cal Poly Pomona - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Chico St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 @ Stanislaus St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 @ UC Merced - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Cal St. Monterey Bay - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Cal St. San Marcos - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ CSUSB - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Cal Poly Pomona - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Cal St. Dom. Hills - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 vs Cal State LA - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Geriah Bradley - 18 30.3 12.7 4.1 3.9 1.8 0.2 4.9 11.3 6.5 -78 -3.7 -16.8 38.2 14.3 74.2 -0.3 46.5 39.0
Athena Brombacher - 20 26.5 10.8 5.5 1.1 1.6 0.3 2.1 7.6 9.7 -47 -2.1 -8.2 46.7 40.0 74.2 1.35 55.5 47.4
Leilani Blecha - 20 25.5 8.3 1.8 0.9 1.1 0.2 0.9 8.2 3.1 -127 -5.3 -27.9 33.9 34.6 57.9 -2.14 48.2 47.3
Gianna Darte - 19 20.1 7.2 2.7 0.7 1.1 0.4 1.7 9.2 1.2 11 0.5 2.4 26.9 24.2 75.0 3.13 37.4 35.4
Deonna Mayfield - 20 22.5 7.1 3.8 1.9 1.6 0.1 2.8 7.6 4.1 -47 -2.1 -10.2 31.6 30.4 72.7 -0.22 41.4 36.2
Samantha Myhr - 20 16.5 5.8 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 6.1 1.4 -96 -4.4 -24.0 31.1 31.3 80.0 -5.52 46.7 45.9
Simone Murray - 18 23.2 4.0 2.3 1.2 1.4 0.1 1.2 4.1 3.7 -57 -2.9 -19.3 32.9 39.3 59.1 -0.58 43.5 40.4
Tegan Gaines - 20 14.6 3.7 3.5 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.6 4.0 3.5 -60 -2.7 -13.8 28.7 22.9 70.8 -1.39 40.9 35.6
Monique Cavness - 9 10.5 2.4 3.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.1 3.2 - - - 57.9 0 0.0 -2.22 47.0 57.9
Malea Scobie - 19 11.9 2.1 2.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.7 2.8 -47 -2.2 -18.6 43.8 0.0 78.6 -2.17 51.1 43.8
Alexandra Thompson - 5 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.6 -15 -3.8 -112.1 50.0 50.0 0 -1.58 66.7 66.7
Talia Garner - 11 8.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.5 2.6 -0.1 -48 -4.4 -1028.6 20.7 7.7 50.0 -3.45 23.4 22.4
Anyce Jefferson - 4 7.4 1.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.5 -17 -4.2 -23.5 16.7 0.0 100.0 -1.54 29.1 16.7
Paris Kaea - 8 4.6 0.2 0.9 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.6 3 0.4 5.4 16.7 0.0 0 -0.05 16.7 16.7
Tiera O'Connor - 7 3.5 0.1 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 6 0.9 19.3 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.69 10.2 0.0
Asia Jackson - 2 3.8 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 1.0 -1.5 61 2.9 21.0 0.0 0 0 2.99 0.0 0.0
Karli Muagututia - 2 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG