San Diego
Model Outputs
2025-2026 latest available
No materialized model snapshot for 2016 yet, so this section is showing the latest available team-model rows.
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 735 (#529) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 778 (#509) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 858 (#642) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -1.4 (#186) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#467) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#9) | - |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.100 (#537) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.999 (#18) | AdjNet +55.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.216 (#511) | AdjNet -11.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.999 (#18) | AdjNet +55.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.214 (#518) | AdjNet -11.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.937 (#49) | AdjO 75.4 | AdjD 45.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.341 (#516) | AdjO 62.0 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.390 (#533) | AdjO 61.7 | AdjD 66.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.344 (#492) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.333 (#507) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 794 (#472) | RD 95 | GP 25 |
2016 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-11-13 | @ | Central Wash. | L | 39 - 59 |
| 2015-11-14 | @ | Concordia Portland | L | 41 - 64 |
| 2015-11-17 | vs | Notre Dame de Namur | W | 67 - 63 |
| 2015-11-21 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2015-11-30 | vs | Cal Maritime | - | Preview |
| 2015-12-04 | vs | Chico St. | W | 49 - 47 |
| 2015-12-05 | vs | Stanislaus St. | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2015-12-08 | @ | Nevada | L | 51 - 57 |
| 2015-12-12 | @ | Cal Poly Humboldt | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2015-12-19 | @ | San Francisco | L | 45 - 73 |
| 2016-01-01 | @ | Cal St. East Bay | L | 46 - 59 |
| 2016-01-02 | @ | Cal St. Monterey Bay | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-07 | vs | UC San Diego | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-09 | vs | CSUSB | L | 47 - 53 |
| 2016-01-15 | @ | Chico St. | L | 39 - 69 |
| 2016-01-16 | @ | Stanislaus St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-01-22 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | L | 39 - 70 |
| 2016-01-23 | vs | Cal St. Monterey Bay | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2016-01-29 | @ | Cal St. Dom. Hills | L | 55 - 65 |
| 2016-01-30 | @ | Cal State LA | L | 57 - 66 |
| 2016-02-05 | vs | Cal Poly Humboldt | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-06 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | W | 49 - 44 |
| 2016-02-09 | @ | Sonoma St. | W | 63 - 46 |
| 2016-02-11 | vs | Cal St. San Marcos | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-17 | vs | UC Santa Cruz | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-20 | vs | Sonoma St. | - | Preview |
| 2016-02-26 | @ | UC San Diego | L | 40 - 63 |
| 2016-02-27 | @ | CSUSB | W | 64 - 59 |
2016 Roster
No roster data available for this season.