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San Diego St.

Season: 2026 2025 2023
Also known as: San Diego St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1033 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1077 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 995 (#493) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +46.1 (#6) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +48.3 More → 0.997 (#13) AdjNet +48.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +47.8 More → 0.997 (#17) AdjNet +47.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.970 (#13) AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 94.6 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.895 (#5) AdjO 94.6 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.937 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.920 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 284 | GP 1 More → 1116 (#146) RD 284 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-22 vs Whittier - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.