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San Diego St.

Season: 2026 2025 2023
Also known as: San Diego St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1032 (#227) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1051 (#255) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 995 (#493) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +46.1 (#6) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +48.3 More → 0.997 (#13) AdjNet +48.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +47.8 More → 0.997 (#17) AdjNet +47.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 58.7 More → 0.970 (#13) AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 58.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 94.6 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.895 (#5) AdjO 94.6 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.937 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.920 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 284 | GP 1 More → 1112 (#159) RD 284 | GP 1

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-22 vs Whittier W 121 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pharaoh Compton - 1 14.0 21.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 14.0 16.0 - - - 64.3 0 50.0 - 63.1 64.3
Magoon Gwath - 1 15.7 15.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 11.0 8.0 - - - 63.6 50.0 0 - 68.2 68.2
Tae Simmons - 1 11.4 15.0 7.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 18.0 - - - 85.7 0 75.0 - 85.6 85.7
Jeremiah Oden - 1 15.8 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 11.0 9.0 - - - 54.5 40.0 0 - 63.6 63.6
Miles Heide - 1 13.4 12.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Reese Dixon-Waters - 1 19.9 10.0 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 - - - 33.3 50.0 100.0 - 61.0 41.7
Elzie Harrington - 1 18.5 9.0 3.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 - - - 66.7 0 100.0 - 69.9 66.7
Miles Byrd - 1 19.1 6.0 6.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
BJ Davis - 1 16.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 9.0 -86 -5.1 -38.6 33.3 100.0 100.0 -0.61 64.4 50.0
Taj DeGourville - 1 20.1 5.0 6.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 14.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
Cam Lawin - 1 4.9 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 125.0 125.0
Raymar Gonzales - 1 4.9 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Thokbor Majak - 1 9.7 2.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 - - - 25.0 0 0.0 - 22.5 25.0
Sean Newman Jr. - 1 16.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 146 9.7 40.9 0 0 0 1.6 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG